Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu
Updated
Matyas Cerny beat Vadym Ursu 6-7, 6-3, 0-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Vadym Ursu at 57%. Vadym Ursu leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cerny is 4-6 in their last 10, Ursu 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Vadym Ursu a 57% favorite. At +187 the sportsbook implies 35% for Matyas Cerny, 9 points below the model's 43%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matyas Cerny at +187 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matyas Cerny | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6494 | 6478 |
| Tour rank | ATP #534 | ATP #563 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 36-21 | 47-31 |
| UTR | 13.84 | 13.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1243 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Vadym Ursu leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Vadym Ursu | 6-7, 6-3, 0-1 | Italy Olbia |
Recent form
Matyas Cerny, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Dimitar Kuzmanov | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Vadym Ursu | L | 6-7, 6-3, 0-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | L | 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Fabrizio Andaloro | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Stepan Baum | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | David Petrofsky | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Filip Jeff Planinsek | W | 6-0, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Johan Nikles | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Filip Misolic | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 28.08.2026 | Daniel Michalski | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Vadym Ursu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Ugo Blanchet | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Adan Freire Da Silva | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Matyas Cerny | W | 6-7, 6-3, 0-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | L | 6-0, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Joao Domingues | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Borna Gojo | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Hugo Grenier | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Gabi Adrian Boitan | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Dimitar Kuzmanov | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 07.9.2026 | August Holmgren | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matyas Cerny | Vadym Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-4, 7-5, L 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| Karol Filar | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu: quick answers
Who won Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu?
Matyas Cerny beat Vadym Ursu 6-7, 6-3, 0-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Vadym Ursu at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Matyas Cerny and Vadym Ursu?
Vadym Ursu leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Vadym Ursu 6-7, 6-3, 0-1 at Italy Olbia.
Who is in better form, Matyas Cerny or Vadym Ursu?
Matyas Cerny is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Vadym Ursu is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matyas Cerny and Vadym Ursu?
Matyas Cerny is rated 6494 (ATP #534) and Vadym Ursu is rated 6478 (ATP #563). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu?
Matyas Cerny is priced at +187 and Vadym Ursu at -286, which implies a 35% and 74% chance to win. The model rates Matyas Cerny 9 points higher than the odds do (43% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.