Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), Indoors. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 11:30.

Updated

Mattia Bellucci beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6, 2-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tomas Martin Etcheverry at 50%. Mattia Bellucci leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Bellucci is 8-2 in their last 10, Etcheverry 3-7.

Result: Mattia Bellucci beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6, 2-6, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Tomas Martin Etcheverry.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Tomas Martin Etcheverry a 50% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
50%
Book
52%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model
50%
Book
53%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tomas Martin Etcheverry at -115 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mattia BellucciTomas Martin Etcheverry
Tennis Gauge rating68646885
Tour rankATP #70ATP #50
Last 10 matches8-23-7
Last 30 days14-30-3
Current streak1 Loss6 Losses
Season record42-2929-28
UTR15.615.66
Elo (52 weeks)17081752
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceClayGrass

Head to head

Mattia Bellucci leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Mattia Bellucci7-6, 2-6, 6-4Kazakhstan Almaty
09.05.2026Mattia Bellucci5-7, 6-2, 6-3Italy Roma

Recent form

Mattia Bellucci, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Terence Atmane L6-7, 7-6, 7-6
21.10.2026Tomas Martin Etcheverry W7-6, 2-6, 6-4
18.10.2026Martin Landaluce W6-2, 4-6, 6-3
17.10.2026Shintaro Mochizuki W6-2, 7-6
16.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko W6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko W6-4, 6-4
15.10.2026Luka Pavlovic W6-4, 6-4
13.10.2026Elias Ymer W6-2, 6-1
07.10.2026Yi Zhou L6-4, 3-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Alexandre Muller W6-4, 6-2

Tomas Martin Etcheverry, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Matteo Berrettini L6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L7-6, 2-6, 6-4
10.10.2026Dalibor Svrcina L6-3, 3-6, 7-5
01.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas L4-6, 6-3, 6-4
25.09.2026Kyrian Jacquet L6-2, 6-3
06.09.2026Alex Michelsen L7-6, 6-4, 6-4
04.09.2026Mariano Navone W6-4, 6-4, 6-3
02.09.2026Jacob Fearnley W6-3, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3
31.08.2026Vit Kopriva W6-3, 6-4, 6-0
15.08.2026Terence Atmane L6-3, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMattia BellucciTomas Martin Etcheverry
Alex Bolt 1-1
W 6-7, 7-5, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-0
1-0
W 6-7, 6-0, 6-3
Alex Michelsen 0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4, 6-4
Alexander Bublik 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
0-2
L 6-3, 6-4, L 7-6, 7-6, 6-4
Brandon Nakashima 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Dino Prizmic 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 2-6, 6-4, 6-3
Gabriel Diallo 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-7, 6-3, 6-2
Kyrian Jacquet 0-1
L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
Lorenzo Sonego 1-0
W 6-4, 1-6, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4, 6-7, 7-6
Luciano Darderi 0-2
L 2-6, 6-4, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 1-0
Mariano Navone 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4, 6-3
Miomir Kecmanovic 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
Raphael Collignon 1-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 1-0
Roman Andres Burruchaga 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-7, 6-4
Terence Atmane 0-1
L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6
2-1
L 6-3, 7-6, W 6-2, 7-6, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2

Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry: quick answers

Who won Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry?

Mattia Bellucci beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6, 2-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tomas Martin Etcheverry at 50%.

What is the head-to-head record between Mattia Bellucci and Tomas Martin Etcheverry?

Mattia Bellucci leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Mattia Bellucci 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 at Kazakhstan Almaty.

Who is in better form, Mattia Bellucci or Tomas Martin Etcheverry?

Mattia Bellucci is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tomas Martin Etcheverry is 3-7 (current streak: 6 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mattia Bellucci and Tomas Martin Etcheverry?

Mattia Bellucci is rated 6864 (ATP #70) and Tomas Martin Etcheverry is rated 6885 (ATP #50). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry?

Mattia Bellucci is priced at -108 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry at -115, which implies a 52% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.