Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Updated
Mattia Bellucci beat Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mattia Bellucci leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bellucci is 8-2 in their last 10, Mochizuki 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mattia Bellucci a 79% favorite. At -323 the sportsbook implies 76% for Mattia Bellucci, 3 points below the model's 79%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mattia Bellucci at -323 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mattia Bellucci | Shintaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6864 | 6757 |
| Tour rank | ATP #70 | ATP #150 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 11-3 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 42-29 | 26-36 |
| UTR | 15.6 | 14.49 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1714 | 1560 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Mattia Bellucci leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-2, 7-6 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Mattia Bellucci, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Luka Pavlovic | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Elias Ymer | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Shintaro Mochizuki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dane Sweeny | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Jaime Faria | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Martin Damm | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mattia Bellucci | Shintaro Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | 0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4, 7-5 |
| Mariano Navone | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Stefano Travaglia | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Mattia Bellucci 79% at -323
Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki: quick answers
Who won Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Mattia Bellucci beat Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mattia Bellucci and Shintaro Mochizuki?
Mattia Bellucci leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Mattia Bellucci 6-2, 7-6 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Mattia Bellucci or Shintaro Mochizuki?
Mattia Bellucci is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Shintaro Mochizuki is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mattia Bellucci and Shintaro Mochizuki?
Mattia Bellucci is rated 6864 (ATP #70) and Shintaro Mochizuki is rated 6757 (ATP #150). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Mattia Bellucci is priced at -323 and Shintaro Mochizuki at +240, which implies a 76% and 29% chance to win. The model rates Mattia Bellucci 3 points higher than the odds do (79% vs 76%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.