Yaroslav Demin vs Matthew Dellavedova
Updated
Matthew Dellavedova beat Yaroslav Demin 2-6, 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yaroslav Demin at 51%. Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Demin is 7-3 in their last 10, Dellavedova 9-1.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yaroslav Demin a 51% favorite. At +209 the sportsbook implies 32% for Yaroslav Demin, 19 points below the model's 51%.
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model minus book: -28 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yaroslav Demin at +209 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yaroslav Demin | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6525 | 6476 |
| Tour rank | ATP #479 | ATP #575 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 7-3 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 43-21 | 110-38 |
| UTR | 13.6 | 13.96 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1168 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 | China Qian Daohu |
Recent form
Yaroslav Demin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Carl Emil Overbeck | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alexandr Binda | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Matthew Dellavedova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lachlan Vickery | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Darcy Nicholls | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Stefan Vujic | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Naoki Nakagawa | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaigaoge Kang | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yaroslav Demin | Matthew Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Carl Emil Overbeck | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| Dong Ju Kim | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-0, W 6-2, 7-5 |
| Egor Pleshivtsev | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-1, 6-1, W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Filip Peliwo | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Hanyi Liu | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Kasidit Samrej | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-1, 6-2, W 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Martin Borisiouk | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Yaroslav Demin 51% at +209
Yaroslav Demin vs Matthew Dellavedova: quick answers
Who won Yaroslav Demin vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Matthew Dellavedova beat Yaroslav Demin 2-6, 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yaroslav Demin at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Yaroslav Demin and Matthew Dellavedova?
Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Matthew Dellavedova 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 at China Qian Daohu.
Who is in better form, Yaroslav Demin or Matthew Dellavedova?
Yaroslav Demin is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Matthew Dellavedova is 9-1 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yaroslav Demin and Matthew Dellavedova?
Yaroslav Demin is rated 6525 (ATP #479) and Matthew Dellavedova is rated 6476 (ATP #575). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yaroslav Demin vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Yaroslav Demin is priced at +209 and Matthew Dellavedova at -323, which implies a 32% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Yaroslav Demin 19 points higher than the odds do (51% vs 32%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.