Matthew Dellavedova vs Yanki Erel
Updated
Matthew Dellavedova beat Yanki Erel 6-3, 2-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yanki Erel at 75%. Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dellavedova is 9-1 in their last 10, Erel 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yanki Erel a 75% favorite. At -256 the sportsbook implies 72% for Yanki Erel, 4 points below the model's 75%.
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yanki Erel at -256 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matthew Dellavedova | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6476 | 6586 |
| Tour rank | ATP #575 | ATP #378 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 7-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 110-38 | 53-20 |
| UTR | 13.96 | 14.3 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1129 | 1434 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | 6-3, 2-1 | China Luan IV |
Recent form
Matthew Dellavedova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lachlan Vickery | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Darcy Nicholls | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Stefan Vujic | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Naoki Nakagawa | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaigaoge Kang | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Yanki Erel, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 6-3, 2-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Anton Shepp | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Boxiong Zhang | W | 6-0, 1-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Federico Cina | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Michael Zheng | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 19.09.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matthew Dellavedova | Yanki Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Shepp | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
| Arthur Weber | 2-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Daniil Sarksian | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 5-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Egor Pleshivtsev | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-1, W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Keisuke Saitoh | 1-1 W 6-1, 6-2, L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-0 |
| Kosuke Ogura | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-2 |
| Luca Castelnuovo | 1-1 W 4-6, 6-3, 4-1, L 6-4, 0-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
Matthew Dellavedova vs Yanki Erel: quick answers
Who won Matthew Dellavedova vs Yanki Erel?
Matthew Dellavedova beat Yanki Erel 6-3, 2-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yanki Erel at 75%.
What is the head-to-head record between Matthew Dellavedova and Yanki Erel?
Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Matthew Dellavedova 6-3, 2-1 at China Luan IV.
Who is in better form, Matthew Dellavedova or Yanki Erel?
Matthew Dellavedova is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Yanki Erel is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matthew Dellavedova and Yanki Erel?
Matthew Dellavedova is rated 6476 (ATP #575) and Yanki Erel is rated 6586 (ATP #378). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matthew Dellavedova vs Yanki Erel?
Matthew Dellavedova is priced at +174 and Yanki Erel at -256, which implies a 36% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Yanki Erel 4 points higher than the odds do (75% vs 72%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.