Matthew Dellavedova vs Mert Alkaya
Updated
Matthew Dellavedova beat Mert Alkaya 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mert Alkaya at 61%. Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dellavedova is 9-1 in their last 10, Alkaya 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mert Alkaya a 61% favorite. At +113 the sportsbook implies 47% for Mert Alkaya, 14 points below the model's 61%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mert Alkaya at +113 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matthew Dellavedova | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6476 | 6555 |
| Tour rank | ATP #575 | ATP #410 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 6-3 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 110-38 | 49-30 |
| UTR | 13.96 | 13.94 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1129 | 1376 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | 6-2, 6-1 | China Luan IV |
Recent form
Matthew Dellavedova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lachlan Vickery | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Darcy Nicholls | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Stefan Vujic | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Naoki Nakagawa | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaigaoge Kang | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Mert Alkaya, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Rigele Te | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Nino Ehrenschneider | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yan Cheng Chen | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ko Suzuki | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Isaac Becroft | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 19.09.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matthew Dellavedova | Mert Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | 0-3 L 6-4, 6-3, L 7-6, 6-1, L 6-3, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Anton Shepp | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Colin Sinclair | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Isaac Becroft | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
| Yan Cheng Chen | 1-0 W 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
Matthew Dellavedova vs Mert Alkaya: quick answers
Who won Matthew Dellavedova vs Mert Alkaya?
Matthew Dellavedova beat Mert Alkaya 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mert Alkaya at 61%.
What is the head-to-head record between Matthew Dellavedova and Mert Alkaya?
Matthew Dellavedova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Matthew Dellavedova 6-2, 6-1 at China Luan IV.
Who is in better form, Matthew Dellavedova or Mert Alkaya?
Matthew Dellavedova is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Mert Alkaya is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matthew Dellavedova and Mert Alkaya?
Matthew Dellavedova is rated 6476 (ATP #575) and Mert Alkaya is rated 6555 (ATP #410). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matthew Dellavedova vs Mert Alkaya?
Matthew Dellavedova is priced at -149 and Mert Alkaya at +113, which implies a 60% and 47% chance to win. The model rates Mert Alkaya 14 points higher than the odds do (61% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.