Matteo Gribaldo vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, giving them a 64% chance to win against Matteo Gribaldo (36%). Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gribaldo is 6-4 in their last 10, Mordini 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini a 64% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini at -263 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matteo Gribaldo | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6474 | 6350 |
| Tour rank | ATP #580 | ATP #955 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 5 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 6-7 | 38-31 |
| UTR | 13.13 | 13.16 |
Head to head
Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X |
Recent form
Matteo Gribaldo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Adrian Oetzbach | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Lorenzo Angelini | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | W | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Eero Vasa | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Marcel Zielinski | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Svit Suljic | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 06.09.2026 | Emilio Camacho | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.07.2026 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 06.07.2026 | Jack Secord | L | 5-7, 2-6 |
| 26.03.2026 | Navneet Raghuram | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Gabriele Maria Noce | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Giannicola Misasi | L | 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Jannik Maute | W | 6-1, 4-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Alexander Weis | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Gabriele Crivellaro | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Mattias Pisanu | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matteo Gribaldo | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Castagnola | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Matteo Gribaldo 36% at +173
- 2026-10-26: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Matteo Gribaldo 36% at +173
- 2026-10-25: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Matteo Gribaldo 36% at +173
- 2026-10-24: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Matteo Gribaldo 36% at +173
- 2026-10-23: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Matteo Gribaldo 36% at +173
- 2026-10-22: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Matteo Gribaldo 36% at +173
- 2026-10-21: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Matteo Gribaldo 36% at +173
Matteo Gribaldo vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: quick answers
Who will win Matteo Gribaldo vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, giving them a 64% chance to win against Matteo Gribaldo (36%).
What is the head-to-head record between Matteo Gribaldo and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Matteo Gribaldo 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.
Who is in better form, Matteo Gribaldo or Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Matteo Gribaldo is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matteo Gribaldo and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Matteo Gribaldo is rated 6474 (ATP #580) and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is rated 6350 (ATP #955). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matteo Gribaldo vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Matteo Gribaldo is priced at +173 and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini at -263, which implies a 37% and 72% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.