Mikael Arseneault vs Matt Kuhar
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matt Kuhar, giving them a 57% chance to win against Mikael Arseneault (43%). Mikael Arseneault leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Arseneault is 4-6 in their last 10, Kuhar 5-5. At +132, the odds imply 43% for Matt Kuhar, below the model's 57%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matt Kuhar a 57% favorite. At +132 the sportsbook implies 43% for Matt Kuhar, 14 points below the model's 57%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matt Kuhar at +132 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mikael Arseneault | Matt Kuhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6320 | 6285 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1078 | ATP #1213 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Win |
| Season record | 25-23 | 18-27 |
| UTR | 13.22 | 13.09 |
Head to head
Mikael Arseneault leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Mikael Arseneault | 6-2, 6-4 | USA Ithaca |
Recent form
Mikael Arseneault, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Rodrigo Fernandes | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Matt Kuhar | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | William Jansen | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Kai Cowcher | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Kyle Mcnally | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Antoine Mayoral | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Nikita Volonski | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Jelani Sarr | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.08.2026 | Matisse Farzam | L | 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 28.07.2026 | James Trotter | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
Matt Kuhar, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | John Chin | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Mikael Arseneault | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Naoto Tomizawa | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Zsombor Velcz | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 24.08.2026 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.08.2026 | Siddhant Banthia | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.08.2026 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 31.07.2026 | Matthew Thomson | L | 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 30.07.2026 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 29.07.2026 | Jesse Ruder Hook | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mikael Arseneault | Matt Kuhar |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Ojakaar | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP Ithaca (USA), model gave Mikael Arseneault 43% at -196
Mikael Arseneault vs Matt Kuhar: quick answers
Who will win Mikael Arseneault vs Matt Kuhar?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matt Kuhar, giving them a 57% chance to win against Mikael Arseneault (43%).
What is the head-to-head record between Mikael Arseneault and Matt Kuhar?
Mikael Arseneault leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Mikael Arseneault 6-2, 6-4 at USA Ithaca.
Who is in better form, Mikael Arseneault or Matt Kuhar?
Mikael Arseneault is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matt Kuhar is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mikael Arseneault and Matt Kuhar?
Mikael Arseneault is rated 6320 (ATP #1078) and Matt Kuhar is rated 6285 (ATP #1213). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mikael Arseneault vs Matt Kuhar?
Mikael Arseneault is priced at -196 and Matt Kuhar at +132, which implies a 66% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Matt Kuhar 14 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.