Sada Nahimana vs Matilde Jorge
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matilde Jorge, giving them a 54% chance to win against Sada Nahimana (46%). Sada Nahimana leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nahimana is 5-5 in their last 10, Jorge 4-6. At +310, the odds imply 24% for Sada Nahimana, below the model's 46%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matilde Jorge a 54% favorite. At +310 the sportsbook implies 24% for Sada Nahimana, 21 points below the model's 46%.
Model minus book: +21 pts
Model minus book: -32 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sada Nahimana at +310 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sada Nahimana | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6682 | 6718 |
| Tour rank | WTA #299 | WTA #271 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 25-22 | 33-31 |
| UTR | 11.51 | 11.47 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1450 | 1432 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Sada Nahimana leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Sada Nahimana | 6-3, 6-1 | France Cherbourg En Cotentin |
Recent form
Sada Nahimana, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Harmony Tan | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Stephanie Judith Visscher | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Matilde Jorge | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Andre Lukosiute | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Isis Louise Van Den Broek | L | 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Diana Martynov | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alina Nesmianovych | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Hajar Crinebouch | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Francesca Pace | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
Matilde Jorge, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Margaux Maquet | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sada Nahimana | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dalma Galfi | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lisa Zaar | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Elena Malygina | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Sinja Kraus | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 22.09.2026 | Celia Cervino Ruiz | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Mia Pohankova | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Anastasia Gasanova | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Anastasia Gasanova | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sada Nahimana | Matilde Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Francesca Curmi | 1-0 W 6-2, 1-0 |
0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 6-0 |
| Isis Louise Van Den Broek | 1-1 L 6-4, 1-6, 6-4, W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
| Lisa Zaar | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
| Manon Leonard | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-1, W 6-1, 6-7, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
Sada Nahimana vs Matilde Jorge: quick answers
Who will win Sada Nahimana vs Matilde Jorge?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matilde Jorge, giving them a 54% chance to win against Sada Nahimana (46%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sada Nahimana and Matilde Jorge?
Sada Nahimana leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Sada Nahimana 6-3, 6-1 at France Cherbourg En Cotentin.
Who is in better form, Sada Nahimana or Matilde Jorge?
Sada Nahimana is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matilde Jorge is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sada Nahimana and Matilde Jorge?
Sada Nahimana is rated 6682 (WTA #299) and Matilde Jorge is rated 6718 (WTA #271). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sada Nahimana vs Matilde Jorge?
Sada Nahimana is priced at +310 and Matilde Jorge at -625, which implies a 24% and 86% chance to win. The model rates Sada Nahimana 21 points higher than the odds do (46% vs 24%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.