Matias Soto vs Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matias Soto, giving them a 97% chance to win against Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca (3%). Soto is 3-7 in their last 10, Gasca 4-6. At -714, the odds imply 88% for Matias Soto, below the model's 97%.
Prediction
The model makes Matias Soto a 97% favorite. At -714 the sportsbook implies 88% for Matias Soto, 9 points below the model's 97%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matias Soto at -714 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matias Soto | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6542 | 5767 |
| Tour rank | ATP #438 | ATP #4353 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 1 Win |
| Season record | 36-24 | 9-16 |
| UTR | 14.1 | 11.87 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1420 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Matias Soto and Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Matias Soto, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Lance Amaury Lage Castelan | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Samuel Heredia | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Lautaro Midon | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Martin Landaluce | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 11.09.2026 | Vitaliy Sachko | L | 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 07.9.2026 | Sandro Kopp | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Kilian Feldbausch | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Rafael Candelas Ruiz | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Joshua Adamson | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Johnny Wolf | W | 2-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Advay Singh | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.08.2026 | Alexis Leguizamon | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 10.08.2026 | Bautista De La Pena | L | 2-6, 0-6 |
| 08.08.2026 | Santiago Ayala | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.07.2026 | Santiago Giamichelle | L | 0-6, 4-6 |
| 06.07.2026 | Andres Medus | L | 2-6, 2-6 |
| 24.06.2026 | Ikenna Prosper Okonkwo | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matias Soto 97% at -714
- 2026-10-31: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matias Soto 97% at -714
- 2026-10-30: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matias Soto 97% at -714
- 2026-10-29: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Matias Soto 97% at -714
Matias Soto vs Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca: quick answers
Who will win Matias Soto vs Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matias Soto, giving them a 97% chance to win against Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca (3%).
Have Matias Soto and Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Matias Soto or Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca?
Matias Soto is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matias Soto and Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca?
Matias Soto is rated 6542 (ATP #438) and Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca is rated 5767 (ATP #4353). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matias Soto vs Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca?
Matias Soto is priced at -714 and Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca at +927, which implies a 88% and 10% chance to win. The model rates Matias Soto 9 points higher than the odds do (97% vs 88%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.