Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
Updated
Valentin Royer beat Mathys Erhard 7-6, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Valentin Royer leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Erhard is 4-6 in their last 10, Royer 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Valentin Royer a 75% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Valentin Royer at -294 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mathys Erhard | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6596 | 6782 |
| Tour rank | ATP #358 | ATP #129 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 41-32 | 27-34 |
| UTR | 14.34 | 15.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1423 | 1677 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Valentin Royer leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Valentin Royer | 7-6, 6-0 | Italy Olbia |
Recent form
Mathys Erhard, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Valentin Royer | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Leo Raquillet | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Lorenzo Rocco | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Oliver Tarvet | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Alberto Barroso Campos | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Paul Theate | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Patrick Zahraj | L | 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Daniil Glinka | L | 7-6, 4-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Benjamin Pietri | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
Valentin Royer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sebastian Dominko | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Timo Legout | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Clement Tabur | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mathys Erhard | W | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Adam Walton | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 31.08.2026 | Dalibor Svrcina | L | 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 5-7, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mathys Erhard | Valentin Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-0 W 7-5, 2-6, 1-0 |
0-2 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | 0-2 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Jurij Rodionov | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| Taro Daniel | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Titouan Droguet | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Mathys Erhard 25% at +194
Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer: quick answers
Who won Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer?
Valentin Royer beat Mathys Erhard 7-6, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer?
Valentin Royer leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Valentin Royer 7-6, 6-0 at Italy Olbia.
Who is in better form, Mathys Erhard or Valentin Royer?
Mathys Erhard is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Valentin Royer is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mathys Erhard and Valentin Royer?
Mathys Erhard is rated 6596 (ATP #358) and Valentin Royer is rated 6782 (ATP #129). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer?
Mathys Erhard is priced at +194 and Valentin Royer at -294, which implies a 34% and 75% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.