Paula Ormaechea vs Mathilde Lollia
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mathilde Lollia, giving them a 81% chance to win against Paula Ormaechea (19%). Paula Ormaechea leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ormaechea is 6-4 in their last 10, Lollia 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mathilde Lollia a 81% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mathilde Lollia at -455 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Paula Ormaechea | Mathilde Lollia | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6339 | 6529 |
| Tour rank | WTA #882 | WTA #499 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 16-7 | 22-24 |
| UTR | 10.21 | 10.8 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1477 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Paula Ormaechea leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Paula Ormaechea | 7-6, 6-3 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula |
Recent form
Paula Ormaechea, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Carla Giambelli | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Mathilde Lollia | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Sveva Fumagalli | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Iva Ivanovic | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Federica Trevisan | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Linda Sevcikova | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.09.2026 | Camilla Gennaro | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.08.2026 | Gabriela Ce | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Iva Primorac | W | 2-6, 7-6, 1-0 |
| 26.08.2026 | Camilla Zanolini | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
Mathilde Lollia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Margaux Maquet | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Amandine Monnot | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Paula Ormaechea | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Clara Burel | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Darja Semenistaja | W | 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Loes Ebeling Koning | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Maria Martinez Vaquero | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Juliana Giaccio | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Carolyn Ansari | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Martha Matoula | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Paula Ormaechea | Mathilde Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Liv Boulard | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
Paula Ormaechea vs Mathilde Lollia: quick answers
Who will win Paula Ormaechea vs Mathilde Lollia?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mathilde Lollia, giving them a 81% chance to win against Paula Ormaechea (19%).
What is the head-to-head record between Paula Ormaechea and Mathilde Lollia?
Paula Ormaechea leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Paula Ormaechea 7-6, 6-3 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.
Who is in better form, Paula Ormaechea or Mathilde Lollia?
Paula Ormaechea is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mathilde Lollia is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Paula Ormaechea and Mathilde Lollia?
Paula Ormaechea is rated 6339 (WTA #882) and Mathilde Lollia is rated 6529 (WTA #499). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Paula Ormaechea vs Mathilde Lollia?
Paula Ormaechea is priced at +260 and Mathilde Lollia at -455, which implies a 28% and 82% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.