Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry
Updated
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida beat Nicolas Jarry 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nicolas Jarry at 54%. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Almeida is 8-2 in their last 10, Jarry 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Nicolas Jarry a 54% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nicolas Jarry at -115 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Nicolas Jarry | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6677 | 6726 |
| Tour rank | ATP #249 | ATP #182 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 5 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-23 | 5-10 |
| UTR | 14.59 | 15.04 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1497 | 1648 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 7-6, 6-4 | Colombia Cali |
Recent form
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Gustavo Heide | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | W | 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Nicolas Jarry | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alex Barrena | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Tomas Barrios Vera | L | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
Nicolas Jarry, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Hugo Dellien | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Tomas Barrios Vera | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 14.04.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 11.04.2026 | Jurij Rodionov | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.04.2026 | Nerman Fatic | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 09.04.2026 | Dominic Stricker | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 07.04.2026 | Miguel Damas | W | 6-1 |
| 17.03.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 10.03.2026 | Adam Walton | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Nicolas Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Dellien | 0-2 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | 0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry: quick answers
Who won Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry?
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida beat Nicolas Jarry 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nicolas Jarry at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Jarry?
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6, 6-4 at Colombia Cali.
Who is in better form, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida or Nicolas Jarry?
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Nicolas Jarry is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Jarry?
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is rated 6677 (ATP #249) and Nicolas Jarry is rated 6726 (ATP #182). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry?
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is priced at -122 and Nicolas Jarry at -115, which implies a 55% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.