Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry

ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), Clay. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida beat Nicolas Jarry 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nicolas Jarry at 54%. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Almeida is 8-2 in their last 10, Jarry 5-5.

Result: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida beat Nicolas Jarry 7-6, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Nicolas Jarry.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nicolas Jarry a 54% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
46%
Book
55%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
54%
Book
53%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nicolas Jarry at -115 · Model track record

Player comparison

Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaNicolas Jarry
Tennis Gauge rating66776726
Tour rankATP #249ATP #182
Last 10 matches8-25-5
Last 30 days5-31-0
Current streak5 Wins2 Losses
Season record43-235-10
UTR14.5915.04
Elo (52 weeks)14971648
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida7-6, 6-4Colombia Cali

Recent form

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Valerio Aboian W7-6, 6-3
24.10.2026Gustavo Heide W6-3, 7-5
23.10.2026Juan Manuel La Serna W6-4, 4-6, 7-5
22.10.2026Nicolas Jarry W7-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Jose Pereira W6-4, 7-5
09.10.2026Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva L6-4, 7-6
07.10.2026Genaro Alberto Olivieri W6-3, 6-3
06.10.2026Alex Barrena W7-5, 6-3
02.10.2026Tomas Barrios Vera L6-1, 3-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva W6-3, 4-6, 6-3

Nicolas Jarry, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Hugo Dellien L6-1, 6-3
22.10.2026Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida L7-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Tomas Barrios Vera W6-4, 6-7, 6-2
14.04.2026Elmer Moller W6-2, 3-6, 6-0
11.04.2026Jurij Rodionov L6-7, 7-6, 7-6
10.04.2026Nerman Fatic W6-1, 6-4
09.04.2026Dominic Stricker W6-2, 7-6
07.04.2026Miguel Damas W6-1
17.03.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-3, 6-1
10.03.2026Adam Walton L7-6, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMatheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaNicolas Jarry
Hugo Dellien 0-2
L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 4-6, 7-6
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Tomas Barrios Vera 0-1
L 6-1, 3-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry: quick answers

Who won Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida beat Nicolas Jarry 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nicolas Jarry at 54%.

What is the head-to-head record between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Jarry?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6, 6-4 at Colombia Cali.

Who is in better form, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida or Nicolas Jarry?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Nicolas Jarry is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Jarry?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is rated 6677 (ATP #249) and Nicolas Jarry is rated 6726 (ATP #182). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is priced at -122 and Nicolas Jarry at -115, which implies a 55% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.