Mateus Nogueira vs Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto, giving them a 87% chance to win against Mateus Nogueira (13%). Nogueira is 2-8 in their last 10, Pagotto 5-5. At -417, the odds imply 81% for Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto, below the model's 87%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto a 87% favorite. At -417 the sportsbook implies 81% for Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto, 6 points below the model's 87%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto at -417 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mateus Nogueira | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5727 | 6272 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4537 | ATP #1272 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 4 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 3-12 | 20-27 |
| UTR | 11.0 | 13.44 |
Head to head
Mateus Nogueira and Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Mateus Nogueira, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.09.2026 | Ignacio De Armas | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.08.2026 | Evan Giurescu | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 14.08.2026 | Hruthik Katakam | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.07.2026 | Juan Miguel Bolívar Idárraga | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 15.07.2026 | Gurjot Singh | W | 6-2, 2-1 |
| 11.07.2026 | Alessandro Rubini Garcia Belaunde | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.07.2026 | Alejandro Castellanos | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 05.06.2026 | Oliver Andre Solis Encinas | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 07.04.2026 | Alessandro Rubini Garcia Belaunde | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 30.03.2026 | Alvaro Ariel Frutos Alonso | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira | W | 6-2, 2-6, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Pedro Boscardin Dias | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Bruno Fernandez | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Wilson Leite | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Victor Bini | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 12.09.2026 | Pedro Sakamoto | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mateus Nogueira | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Dummer Macedo | 0-1 L 6-0, 7-5 |
1-0 W 3-6, 3-6 |
Mateus Nogueira vs Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto: quick answers
Who will win Mateus Nogueira vs Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto, giving them a 87% chance to win against Mateus Nogueira (13%).
Have Mateus Nogueira and Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Mateus Nogueira or Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto?
Mateus Nogueira is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mateus Nogueira and Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto?
Mateus Nogueira is rated 5727 (ATP #4537) and Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto is rated 6272 (ATP #1272). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mateus Nogueira vs Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto?
Mateus Nogueira is priced at +1053 and Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto at -417, which implies a 9% and 81% chance to win. The model rates Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto 6 points higher than the odds do (87% vs 81%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.