Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer
Updated
Matej Dodig beat Tristan Boyer 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tristan Boyer at 53%. Matej Dodig leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dodig is 8-2 in their last 10, Boyer 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tristan Boyer a 53% favorite. At +169 the sportsbook implies 37% for Tristan Boyer, 16 points below the model's 53%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tristan Boyer at +169 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matej Dodig | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6762 | 6722 |
| Tour rank | ATP #145 | ATP #187 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 7-1 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-24 | 26-24 |
| UTR | 14.51 | 14.6 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1615 | 1587 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Matej Dodig leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | 6-4, 7-6 | Portugal Maia |
Recent form
Matej Dodig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pedro Martinez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Tristan Boyer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Vilius Gaubas | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | L | 6-2, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Timo Legout | L | 2-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Edward Winter | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matej Dodig | Tristan Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Pellegrino | 1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Elmer Moller | 1-1 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Francesco Passaro | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Laurent Lokoli | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-1 |
| Lukas Neumayer | 2-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Miguel Damas | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Matej Dodig 43% at -233
Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer: quick answers
Who won Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer?
Matej Dodig beat Tristan Boyer 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tristan Boyer at 53%.
What is the head-to-head record between Matej Dodig and Tristan Boyer?
Matej Dodig leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Matej Dodig 6-4, 7-6 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Matej Dodig or Tristan Boyer?
Matej Dodig is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tristan Boyer is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matej Dodig and Tristan Boyer?
Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145) and Tristan Boyer is rated 6722 (ATP #187). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer?
Matej Dodig is priced at -233 and Tristan Boyer at +169, which implies a 70% and 37% chance to win. The model rates Tristan Boyer 16 points higher than the odds do (53% vs 37%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.