Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Matej Dodig beat Pedro Martinez 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pedro Martinez at 51%. Matej Dodig leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Martinez is 6-4 in their last 10, Dodig 8-2.

Result: Matej Dodig beat Pedro Martinez 6-2, 6-1. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Pedro Martinez.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Pedro Martinez a 51% favorite. At +197 the sportsbook implies 34% for Pedro Martinez, 17 points below the model's 51%.

Model
51%
Book
34%

Model minus book: +17 pts

Model
49%
Book
74%

Model minus book: -25 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pedro Martinez at +197 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pedro MartinezMatej Dodig
Tennis Gauge rating67536762
Tour rankATP #152ATP #145
Last 10 matches6-48-2
Last 30 days3-25-1
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record35-3443-24
UTR14.714.51
Elo (52 weeks)15651615
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Matej Dodig leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Matej Dodig6-2, 6-1Portugal Maia

Recent form

Pedro Martinez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
14.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-2, 6-1
10.10.2026Laslo Djere L6-4, 6-2
09.10.2026Pablo Llamas Ruiz W6-4, 4-2
08.10.2026Daniel Rincon W7-5, 6-4
06.10.2026August Holmgren W2-6, 7-6, 7-5
22.09.2026Eduardo Ribeiro L7-6, 6-3
13.09.2026Thiago Seyboth Wild L6-4, 6-2
12.09.2026Laslo Djere W2-6, 6-4, 7-5
11.09.2026Valerio Aboian W6-1, 6-2
09.09.2026Maximo Zeitune W6-2, 6-1

Matej Dodig, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-4, 6-2
21.10.2026Marco Cecchinato W6-1, 4-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Joao Domingues W6-1, 6-3
17.10.2026Francesco Passaro L5-7, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Tristan Boyer W6-4, 7-6
15.10.2026Lukas Neumayer W6-4, 4-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Pedro Martinez W6-2, 6-1
11.10.2026Elmer Moller W3-6, 6-3, 6-2
10.10.2026Lukas Neumayer W6-3, 6-1
09.10.2026Marvin Moeller W6-2, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPedro MartinezMatej Dodig
Arthur Fery 1-0
W 7-6, 4-6, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
August Holmgren 1-0
W 2-6, 7-6, 7-5
0-1
L 7-6, 3-6, 6-3
Carlos Sanchez Jover 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Duje Ajdukovic 0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 1-0
1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
Frederico Ferreira Silva 1-0
W 6-2, 7-5
1-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 7-6
Henri Squire 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
Hugo Dellien 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
1-2
W 5-3, L 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-4
Marco Trungelliti 1-0
W 5-7, 7-6, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Pablo Carreno Busta 1-1
W 6-3, 4-3, L 6-4, 4-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Thiago Seyboth Wild 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 7-5, 4-6, 6-2
Timofey Skatov 2-0
W 6-3, 6-2, W 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Pedro Martinez 51% at +197

Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig: quick answers

Who won Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig?

Matej Dodig beat Pedro Martinez 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pedro Martinez at 51%.

What is the head-to-head record between Pedro Martinez and Matej Dodig?

Matej Dodig leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Matej Dodig 6-2, 6-1 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Pedro Martinez or Matej Dodig?

Pedro Martinez is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Matej Dodig is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pedro Martinez and Matej Dodig?

Pedro Martinez is rated 6753 (ATP #152) and Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig?

Pedro Martinez is priced at +197 and Matej Dodig at -286, which implies a 34% and 74% chance to win. The model rates Pedro Martinez 17 points higher than the odds do (51% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.