Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig
Updated
Matej Dodig beat Miguel Damas 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matej Dodig leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Damas is 4-6 in their last 10, Dodig 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matej Dodig a 73% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matej Dodig at -435 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Miguel Damas | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6641 | 6762 |
| Tour rank | ATP #290 | ATP #145 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 30-37 | 43-24 |
| UTR | 14.05 | 14.51 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1433 | 1617 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Matej Dodig leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | 6-4, 6-1 | Portugal Braga |
Recent form
Miguel Damas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Samuele Pieri | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Max Wiskandt | L | 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Johan Nikles | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Alexander Ritschard | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Xavi Palomar | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Leonid Sheyngezikht | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mika Brunold | L | 6-3, 4-0 |
| 04.09.2026 | Hugo Dellien | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 03.09.2026 | Dimitar Kuzmanov | W | 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
Matej Dodig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pedro Martinez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Miguel Damas | Matej Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Hassan | 0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-1, W 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Hugo Dellien | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
1-2 W 5-3, L 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Johan Nikles | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | 0-3 L 7-6, 6-3, L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Manas Dhamne | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-5, 4-6, 6-1 |
| Tristan Boyer | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig: quick answers
Who won Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig?
Matej Dodig beat Miguel Damas 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Miguel Damas and Matej Dodig?
Matej Dodig leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Matej Dodig 6-4, 6-1 at Portugal Braga.
Who is in better form, Miguel Damas or Matej Dodig?
Miguel Damas is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Matej Dodig is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Miguel Damas and Matej Dodig?
Miguel Damas is rated 6641 (ATP #290) and Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Miguel Damas vs Matej Dodig?
Miguel Damas is priced at +295 and Matej Dodig at -435, which implies a 25% and 81% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.