Matei Florin Breazu vs Mattia Nannelli
Updated
Mattia Nannelli beat Matei Florin Breazu 5-7, 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Matei Florin Breazu at 71%. Mattia Nannelli leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Breazu is 7-3 in their last 10, Nannelli 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matei Florin Breazu a 71% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matei Florin Breazu at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matei Florin Breazu | Mattia Nannelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6338 | 6250 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1005 | ATP #1365 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 39-20 | 9-8 |
| UTR | 13.28 | 12.98 |
Head to head
Mattia Nannelli leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Mattia Nannelli | 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 | Bulgaria Burgas |
Recent form
Matei Florin Breazu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Mattia Nannelli | L | 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Giannicola Misasi | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Michel Hopp | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Luka Talan Lopatic | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Benedikt Szerencsits | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Viktor Kirov | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Radu David Turcanu | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Cian Maguire | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.09.2026 | Luca Frunza | W | 6-2, 2-0 |
| 03.09.2026 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
Mattia Nannelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | George Lazarov | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Matei Florin Breazu | W | 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Aleksandar Tolev | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Alexander Vasilev | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Rodion Chetverikov | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Andrea Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Aleksandar Konstantinov | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | David Tixhon | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Mikhail Osipov | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Matei Florin Breazu vs Mattia Nannelli: quick answers
Who won Matei Florin Breazu vs Mattia Nannelli?
Mattia Nannelli beat Matei Florin Breazu 5-7, 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Matei Florin Breazu at 71%.
What is the head-to-head record between Matei Florin Breazu and Mattia Nannelli?
Mattia Nannelli leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Mattia Nannelli 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 at Bulgaria Burgas.
Who is in better form, Matei Florin Breazu or Mattia Nannelli?
Matei Florin Breazu is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mattia Nannelli is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matei Florin Breazu and Mattia Nannelli?
Matei Florin Breazu is rated 6338 (ATP #1005) and Mattia Nannelli is rated 6250 (ATP #1365). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matei Florin Breazu vs Mattia Nannelli?
Matei Florin Breazu is priced at -286 and Mattia Nannelli at +180, which implies a 74% and 36% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.