Mary Stoiana vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mary Stoiana, giving them a 53% chance to win against Oleksandra Oliynykova (47%). Mary Stoiana leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stoiana is 7-3 in their last 10, Oliynykova 3-7. At +179, the odds imply 36% for Oleksandra Oliynykova, below the model's 47%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mary Stoiana a 53% favorite. At +179 the sportsbook implies 36% for Oleksandra Oliynykova, 11 points below the model's 47%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Oleksandra Oliynykova at +179 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mary Stoiana | Oleksandra Oliynykova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6874 | 6931 |
| Tour rank | WTA #133 | WTA #99 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 57-27 | 34-24 |
| UTR | 12.16 | 12.13 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1712 | 1695 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Mary Stoiana leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Mary Stoiana | 6-2, 6-3 | Japan Osaka |
Recent form
Mary Stoiana, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Moyuka Uchijima | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sayaka Ishii | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Rinko Matsuda | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Julieta Pareja | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 18.09.2026 | Paula Badosa | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Dominika Salkova | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Claire Liu | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Oleksandra Oliynykova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Mai Hontama | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Mary Stoiana | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Aliona Falei | L | 7-6, 4-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Wushuang Zheng | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Yue Yuan | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Vivian Wolff | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 03.09.2026 | Alexandra Eala | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 01.09.2026 | Reese Brantmeier | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.08.2026 | Diane Parry | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mary Stoiana | Oleksandra Oliynykova |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-1, 6-4, W 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Elizabeth Mandlik | 0-2 L 6-1, 2-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Mai Hontama | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | 1-0 W 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 |
1-1 L 5-7, 6-2, 7-5, W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | 1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| Yue Yuan | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
Mary Stoiana vs Oleksandra Oliynykova: quick answers
Who will win Mary Stoiana vs Oleksandra Oliynykova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mary Stoiana, giving them a 53% chance to win against Oleksandra Oliynykova (47%).
What is the head-to-head record between Mary Stoiana and Oleksandra Oliynykova?
Mary Stoiana leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Mary Stoiana 6-2, 6-3 at Japan Osaka.
Who is in better form, Mary Stoiana or Oleksandra Oliynykova?
Mary Stoiana is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Oleksandra Oliynykova is 3-7 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mary Stoiana and Oleksandra Oliynykova?
Mary Stoiana is rated 6874 (WTA #133) and Oleksandra Oliynykova is rated 6931 (WTA #99). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mary Stoiana vs Oleksandra Oliynykova?
Mary Stoiana is priced at -217 and Oleksandra Oliynykova at +179, which implies a 68% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Oleksandra Oliynykova 11 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.