Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mary Stoiana, giving them a 71% chance to win against Moyuka Uchijima (29%). Mary Stoiana leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stoiana is 7-3 in their last 10, Uchijima 3-7. At -189, the odds imply 65% for Mary Stoiana, below the model's 71%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mary Stoiana a 71% favorite. At -189 the sportsbook implies 65% for Mary Stoiana, 6 points below the model's 71%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mary Stoiana at -189 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mary Stoiana | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6874 | 6882 |
| Tour rank | WTA #133 | WTA #129 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 57-27 | 28-29 |
| UTR | 12.16 | 11.82 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1712 | 1595 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Mary Stoiana leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Mary Stoiana | 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 | Japan Osaka |
Recent form
Mary Stoiana, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Moyuka Uchijima | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sayaka Ishii | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Rinko Matsuda | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Julieta Pareja | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 18.09.2026 | Paula Badosa | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Dominika Salkova | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Claire Liu | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Moyuka Uchijima, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Mary Stoiana | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ena Shibahara | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Magdalena Frech | L | 6-4, 4-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Zhuoxuan Bai | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Xiyu Wang | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Swastika Bista | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lanlana Tararudee | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Lucie Havlickova | L | 6-2, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 25.08.2026 | Polona Hercog | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mary Stoiana | Moyuka Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Alycia Parks | 0-2 L 7-5, 6-7, 6-2, L 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Claire Liu | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-0, 4-1 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Kaja Juvan | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 3-0 |
0-1 L 7-6, 3-6, 6-0 |
| Lucia Bronzetti | 0-1 L 7-6, 1-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Madison Brengle | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Maria Lourdes Carle | 1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-1 W 5-7, 6-2, 7-5, L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Rebeka Masarova | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Tereza Valentova | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| Veronika Erjavec | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mary Stoiana 71% at -189
- 2026-10-26: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mary Stoiana 71% at -189
- 2026-10-25: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mary Stoiana 71% at -189
- 2026-10-24: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mary Stoiana 71% at -189
- 2026-10-23: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mary Stoiana 71% at -189
- 2026-10-22: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mary Stoiana 71% at -189
- 2026-10-21: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mary Stoiana 71% at -189
Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima: quick answers
Who will win Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mary Stoiana, giving them a 71% chance to win against Moyuka Uchijima (29%).
What is the head-to-head record between Mary Stoiana and Moyuka Uchijima?
Mary Stoiana leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Mary Stoiana 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 at Japan Osaka.
Who is in better form, Mary Stoiana or Moyuka Uchijima?
Mary Stoiana is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Moyuka Uchijima is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mary Stoiana and Moyuka Uchijima?
Mary Stoiana is rated 6874 (WTA #133) and Moyuka Uchijima is rated 6882 (WTA #129). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima?
Mary Stoiana is priced at -189 and Moyuka Uchijima at +150, which implies a 65% and 40% chance to win. The model rates Mary Stoiana 6 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.