Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller

ATP Braga (Portugal), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 05:00.

Updated

Marvin Moeller beat Ryan Nijboer 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Marvin Moeller leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nijboer is 6-4 in their last 10, Moeller 7-3.

Result: Marvin Moeller beat Ryan Nijboer 6-3, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Marvin Moeller a 73% favorite. At -179 the sportsbook implies 64% for Marvin Moeller, 9 points below the model's 73%.

Model
27%
Book
44%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model
73%
Book
64%

Model minus book: +9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marvin Moeller at -179 · Model track record

Player comparison

Ryan NijboerMarvin Moeller
Tennis Gauge rating65286661
Tour rankATP #475ATP #270
Last 10 matches6-47-3
Last 30 days12-35-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record58-3153-29
UTR14.1214.59
Elo (52 weeks)12501548
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Marvin Moeller leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Marvin Moeller6-3, 6-3Portugal Braga

Recent form

Ryan Nijboer, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Lorenzo Claverie L7-5, 6-3
25.10.2026Mariano Kestelboim W7-6, 1-0
12.10.2026Benjamin Hassan L5-7, 7-6, 7-5
11.10.2026Javier Barranco Cosano W6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Marvin Moeller L6-3, 6-3
07.10.2026Mackenzie Mcdonald W6-1, 4-6, 6-3
05.10.2026Benjamin Hassan W6-3, 6-3
04.10.2026Nico Hipfl W5-7, 7-5, 6-1
03.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L7-5, 6-1
02.10.2026Nicolas Ifi W6-4, 3-6, 7-6

Marvin Moeller, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso L7-5, 4-6, 7-6
15.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W6-4, 3-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Carlos Sanchez Jover W7-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-2, 6-3
08.10.2026Ryan Nijboer W6-3, 6-3
07.10.2026Tiago Torres W6-4, 6-4
26.09.2026Luka Mikrut L6-3, 3-6, 7-6
25.09.2026Dali Blanch W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
23.09.2026Federico Arnaboldi W6-4, 6-4
22.09.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-4, 4-6, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentRyan NijboerMarvin Moeller
Calvin Hemery 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 7-6
Carles Cordoba 0-1
L 1-6, 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 6-0
Dimitar Kuzmanov 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Hazem Naw 0-1
L 6-7, 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Maxence Bertimon 1-0
W 3-6, 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 2-6, 6-1, 7-6
Sander Jong 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 4-6, 7-5
Tomas Curras Abasolo 1-2
W 6-3, 6-1, L 6-7, 6-1, 2-0, L 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-1

Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller: quick answers

Who won Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller?

Marvin Moeller beat Ryan Nijboer 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Ryan Nijboer and Marvin Moeller?

Marvin Moeller leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Marvin Moeller 6-3, 6-3 at Portugal Braga.

Who is in better form, Ryan Nijboer or Marvin Moeller?

Ryan Nijboer is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Marvin Moeller is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Ryan Nijboer and Marvin Moeller?

Ryan Nijboer is rated 6528 (ATP #475) and Marvin Moeller is rated 6661 (ATP #270). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Ryan Nijboer vs Marvin Moeller?

Ryan Nijboer is priced at +125 and Marvin Moeller at -179, which implies a 44% and 64% chance to win. The model rates Marvin Moeller 9 points higher than the odds do (73% vs 64%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.