Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig
Updated
Matej Dodig beat Marvin Moeller 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Moeller is 7-3 in their last 10, Dodig 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matej Dodig a 64% favorite. At -133 the sportsbook implies 57% for Matej Dodig, 7 points below the model's 64%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matej Dodig at -133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marvin Moeller | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6661 | 6762 |
| Tour rank | ATP #270 | ATP #145 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 6-3 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 53-29 | 43-24 |
| UTR | 14.59 | 14.51 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1548 | 1617 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | 6-2, 6-3 | Portugal Braga |
| 15.08.2026 | Marvin Moeller | 6-2, 6-4 | Germany Hamburg |
Recent form
Marvin Moeller, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ryan Nijboer | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tiago Torres | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Dali Blanch | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
Matej Dodig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pedro Martinez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marvin Moeller | Matej Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | 1-0 W 6-3, 1-0 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Marco Cecchinato | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Michael Vrbensky | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Raul Brancaccio | 1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Rudolf Molleker | 0-1 L 2-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Stefano Travaglia | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-2 W 7-5, 6-3, L 7-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig: quick answers
Who won Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig?
Matej Dodig beat Marvin Moeller 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Marvin Moeller and Matej Dodig?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Matej Dodig 6-2, 6-3 at Portugal Braga.
Who is in better form, Marvin Moeller or Matej Dodig?
Marvin Moeller is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matej Dodig is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marvin Moeller and Matej Dodig?
Marvin Moeller is rated 6661 (ATP #270) and Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marvin Moeller vs Matej Dodig?
Marvin Moeller is priced at +100 and Matej Dodig at -133, which implies a 50% and 57% chance to win. The model rates Matej Dodig 7 points higher than the odds do (64% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.