Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tatjana Maria, giving them a 97% chance to win against Martina Colmegna (3%). Tatjana Maria leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Maria is 8-2 in their last 10, Colmegna 6-4. At -1429, the odds imply 93% for Tatjana Maria, below the model's 97%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tatjana Maria a 97% favorite. At -1429 the sportsbook implies 93% for Tatjana Maria, 4 points below the model's 97%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tatjana Maria at -1429 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tatjana Maria | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6965 | 6523 |
| Tour rank | WTA #83 | WTA #514 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-33 | 31-26 |
| UTR | 12.54 | 11.11 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1734 | 1250 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Tatjana Maria leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tatjana Maria | 6-1, 7-6 | Mexico Queretaro |
Recent form
Tatjana Maria, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Martina Colmegna | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Reese Brantmeier | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Anastasia Kulikova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Victoria Hu | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Dana Guzman | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Alana Smith | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Malaika Rapolu | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Lea Ma | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Martina Colmegna, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tatjana Maria | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | W | 6-4, 0-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Francesca Jones | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Alena Kovackova | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Mia Horvit | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Federica Bilardo | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Mia Ristic | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Gabriella Price | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 26.08.2026 | Marianna Argyrokastriti | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tatjana Maria | Martina Colmegna |
|---|---|---|
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Queretaro (Mexico), model gave Tatjana Maria 97% at -1429
Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna: quick answers
Who will win Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tatjana Maria, giving them a 97% chance to win against Martina Colmegna (3%).
What is the head-to-head record between Tatjana Maria and Martina Colmegna?
Tatjana Maria leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Tatjana Maria 6-1, 7-6 at Mexico Queretaro.
Who is in better form, Tatjana Maria or Martina Colmegna?
Tatjana Maria is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Martina Colmegna is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tatjana Maria and Martina Colmegna?
Tatjana Maria is rated 6965 (WTA #83) and Martina Colmegna is rated 6523 (WTA #514). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna?
Tatjana Maria is priced at -1429 and Martina Colmegna at +559, which implies a 93% and 15% chance to win. The model rates Tatjana Maria 4 points higher than the odds do (97% vs 93%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.