Martina Capurro Taborda vs Varvara Lepchenko
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Varvara Lepchenko, giving them a 65% chance to win against Martina Capurro Taborda (35%). Taborda is 3-7 in their last 10, Lepchenko 4-6. At +350, the odds imply 22% for Martina Capurro Taborda, below the model's 35%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Varvara Lepchenko a 65% favorite. At +350 the sportsbook implies 22% for Martina Capurro Taborda, 12 points below the model's 35%.
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Martina Capurro Taborda at +350 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Martina Capurro Taborda | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6568 | 6780 |
| Tour rank | WTA #447 | WTA #214 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 6 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 44-24 | 25-29 |
| UTR | 11.17 | 11.62 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1374 | 1548 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Martina Capurro Taborda and Varvara Lepchenko haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Martina Capurro Taborda, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Polona Hercog | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Elizabeth Mandlik | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kristina Penickova | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Jane Dunyon | L | 0-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.09.2026 | Chloe Paquet | L | 7-5, 1-6, 6-2 |
| 27.08.2026 | Victoria Luiza Barros | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 26.08.2026 | Maayan Laron | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 24.07.2026 | Daria Egorova | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.07.2026 | Berta Bonardi | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 22.07.2026 | Oceane Babel | W | 6-4, 2-6, 7-6 |
Varvara Lepchenko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Cristina Ramos Sierra | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Christasha Mcneil | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Julieta Pareja | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Nadia Podoroska | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Ulrikke Eikeri | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Alycia Parks | L | 6-3, 1-6, 7-5 |
| 09.09.2026 | Claire Liu | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Katrina Scott | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.08.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Martina Capurro Taborda | Varvara Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Alves | 2-0 W 6-3, 2-6, 6-4, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Katrina Scott | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-0 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-1, W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Lia Karatancheva | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA Austin (XI) (USA), model gave Martina Capurro Taborda 35% at +350
Martina Capurro Taborda vs Varvara Lepchenko: quick answers
Who will win Martina Capurro Taborda vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Varvara Lepchenko, giving them a 65% chance to win against Martina Capurro Taborda (35%).
Have Martina Capurro Taborda and Varvara Lepchenko played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Martina Capurro Taborda or Varvara Lepchenko?
Martina Capurro Taborda is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Losses). Varvara Lepchenko is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Martina Capurro Taborda and Varvara Lepchenko?
Martina Capurro Taborda is rated 6568 (WTA #447) and Varvara Lepchenko is rated 6780 (WTA #214). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Martina Capurro Taborda vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Martina Capurro Taborda is priced at +350 and Varvara Lepchenko at -714, which implies a 22% and 88% chance to win. The model rates Martina Capurro Taborda 12 points higher than the odds do (35% vs 22%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.