Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Martin Krumich, giving them a 83% chance to win against Matt Ponchet (17%). Matt Ponchet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ponchet is 4-6 in their last 10, Krumich 5-5. At 0, the odds imply -0% for Martin Krumich, below the model's 83%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Martin Krumich a 83% favorite. At 0 the sportsbook implies -0% for Martin Krumich, 83 points below the model's 83%.
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model minus book: +83 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Martin Krumich at 0 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matt Ponchet | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6375 | 6640 |
| Tour rank | ATP #872 | ATP #291 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 16-21 | 49-33 |
| UTR | 13.1 | 14.29 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1453 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Matt Ponchet leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Matt Ponchet | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 | United Kingdom Sheffield |
Recent form
Matt Ponchet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Martin Krumich | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Paul Jubb | L | 5-7, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Stijn Pel | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Arthur Nagel | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Theo Herrmann | W | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mickael Kaouk | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.08.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 16.08.2026 | Marcus Walters | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 31.07.2026 | Conor Gannon | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 30.07.2026 | Ammar Elamin | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Martin Krumich, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Matt Ponchet | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Leonardo Rossi | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Patrick Brady | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Samuele Pieri | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Imanol Lopez Morillo | W | 6-1, 4-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Dominik Recek | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Tom Gentzsch | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matt Ponchet | Martin Krumich |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Peliwo | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Loann Massard | 1-0 W 6-1, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Patrick Brady | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Kingdom Sheffield (IX) (United Kingdom), model gave Matt Ponchet 17% at +525
Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich: quick answers
Who will win Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Martin Krumich, giving them a 83% chance to win against Matt Ponchet (17%).
What is the head-to-head record between Matt Ponchet and Martin Krumich?
Matt Ponchet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Matt Ponchet 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 at United Kingdom Sheffield.
Who is in better form, Matt Ponchet or Martin Krumich?
Matt Ponchet is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Martin Krumich is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matt Ponchet and Martin Krumich?
Matt Ponchet is rated 6375 (ATP #872) and Martin Krumich is rated 6640 (ATP #291). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich?
Matt Ponchet is priced at +525 and Martin Krumich at 0, which implies a 16% and -0% chance to win. The model rates Martin Krumich 83 points higher than the odds do (83% vs -0%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.