Marjorie Souza vs Sophia Santos

WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Marjorie Souza, giving them a 77% chance to win against Sophia Santos (23%). Marjorie Souza leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Souza is 4-6 in their last 10, Santos 2-8. At +650, the odds imply 13% for Sophia Santos, below the model's 23%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Marjorie Souza a 77% favorite. At +650 the sportsbook implies 13% for Sophia Santos, 9 points below the model's 23%.

Model
77%
Book
94%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model
23%
Book
13%

Model minus book: +9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sophia Santos at +650 · Model track record

Player comparison

Marjorie SouzaSophia Santos
Tennis Gauge rating61974676
Tour rankWTA #1328WTA #5465
Last 10 matches4-62-8
Last 30 days3-22-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Win
Season record35-245-8
UTR10.458.5

Head to head

Marjorie Souza leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Marjorie Souza6-0, 6-0Brazil Joao Pessoa
13.10.2026Marjorie Souza6-1, 6-2Brazil Maceio

Recent form

Marjorie Souza, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Francesca Jones L6-4, 6-3
27.10.2026Berta Bonardi W6-1, 7-5
23.10.2026Maria Florencia Urrutia L6-3, 6-4
22.10.2026Sabrina Dias L6-3, 0-5
20.10.2026Sophia Santos W6-0, 6-0
16.10.2026Ana Sofia Sanchez L6-2, 3-6, 6-0
16.10.2026Ana Sofia Sanchez L6-2, 3-6, 6-0
15.10.2026Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
13.10.2026Sophia Santos W6-1, 6-2
26.08.2026Carolyn Ansari L6-3, 6-2

Sophia Santos, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Maria Jose Rico Sanchez W6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Marjorie Souza L6-1, 6-2
24.09.2026Luna Maria Cinalli L6-1, 6-0
23.09.2026Guisella Insfran W6-2, 6-1
15.09.2026Mariana Soares L6-2, 6-1
23.08.2026Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior L6-2, 1-6, 1-0
17.08.2026Lara Isabella Kralus L6-3, 6-0
10.08.2026Isadora Sigrist L6-1, 1-6, 10-3
04.06.2026Teodora Sfirnaciuc L6-4, 6-4
22.04.2026Lana Srejic L6-2, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMarjorie SouzaSophia Santos
Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 1-6, 1-0

Marjorie Souza vs Sophia Santos: quick answers

Who will win Marjorie Souza vs Sophia Santos?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Marjorie Souza, giving them a 77% chance to win against Sophia Santos (23%).

What is the head-to-head record between Marjorie Souza and Sophia Santos?

Marjorie Souza leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Marjorie Souza 6-0, 6-0 at Brazil Joao Pessoa.

Who is in better form, Marjorie Souza or Sophia Santos?

Marjorie Souza is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Sophia Santos is 2-8 (current streak: 1 Win).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Marjorie Souza and Sophia Santos?

Marjorie Souza is rated 6197 (WTA #1328) and Sophia Santos is rated 4676 (WTA #5465). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Marjorie Souza vs Sophia Santos?

Marjorie Souza is priced at -1667 and Sophia Santos at +650, which implies a 94% and 13% chance to win. The model rates Sophia Santos 9 points higher than the odds do (23% vs 13%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.