Marjorie Souza vs Sabrina Dias
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marjorie Souza, giving them a 70% chance to win against Sabrina Dias (30%). Sabrina Dias leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Souza is 4-6 in their last 10, Dias 5-5. At +492, the odds imply 17% for Sabrina Dias, below the model's 30%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marjorie Souza a 70% favorite. At +492 the sportsbook implies 17% for Sabrina Dias, 13 points below the model's 30%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sabrina Dias at +492 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marjorie Souza | Sabrina Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6197 | 5701 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1328 | WTA #3286 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 35-24 | 10-9 |
| UTR | 10.45 | 9.14 |
Head to head
Sabrina Dias leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Sabrina Dias | 6-3, 0-5 | Brazil Joao Pessoa |
Recent form
Marjorie Souza, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Francesca Jones | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Berta Bonardi | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Maria Florencia Urrutia | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Sabrina Dias | L | 6-3, 0-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sophia Santos | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ana Sofia Sanchez | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ana Sofia Sanchez | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Sophia Santos | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Carolyn Ansari | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Sabrina Dias, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Marjorie Souza | L | 6-3, 0-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Maria Fernanda Lopes | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Maria Florencia Urrutia | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Luiza Sana | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Gabriela Guapindaia Soares | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Paola Lopez | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.09.2026 | Josefina Estevez | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Maria Paula | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 03.09.2026 | Ana Candiotto | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marjorie Souza | Sabrina Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Ana Candiotto | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Jennifer Rosa Dourado Zimermman | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 0-6, 6-4, 15-13 |
| Maria Fernanda Lopes | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Maria Florencia Urrutia | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Nicole Giannini | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Marjorie Souza 70% at -1250
- 2026-10-26: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Marjorie Souza 70% at -1250
- 2026-10-25: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Marjorie Souza 70% at -1250
- 2026-10-24: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Marjorie Souza 70% at -1250
- 2026-10-23: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Marjorie Souza 70% at -1250
- 2026-10-22: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Marjorie Souza 70% at -1250
- 2026-10-21: WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Marjorie Souza 70% at -1250
Marjorie Souza vs Sabrina Dias: quick answers
Who will win Marjorie Souza vs Sabrina Dias?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marjorie Souza, giving them a 70% chance to win against Sabrina Dias (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Marjorie Souza and Sabrina Dias?
Sabrina Dias leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Sabrina Dias 6-3, 0-5 at Brazil Joao Pessoa.
Who is in better form, Marjorie Souza or Sabrina Dias?
Marjorie Souza is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Sabrina Dias is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marjorie Souza and Sabrina Dias?
Marjorie Souza is rated 6197 (WTA #1328) and Sabrina Dias is rated 5701 (WTA #3286). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marjorie Souza vs Sabrina Dias?
Marjorie Souza is priced at -1250 and Sabrina Dias at +492, which implies a 93% and 17% chance to win. The model rates Sabrina Dias 13 points higher than the odds do (30% vs 17%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.