Robin Bertrand vs Mario Arce Fernandez

ATP Monastir (X) III (Tunisia), Hard. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 03:30.

Updated

Robin Bertrand beat Mario Arce Fernandez 6-4, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Robin Bertrand leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bertrand is 8-2 in their last 10, Fernandez 4-6.

Result: Robin Bertrand beat Mario Arce Fernandez 6-4, 6-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Robin Bertrand a 83% favorite. At +623 the sportsbook implies 14% for Mario Arce Fernandez, 3 points below the model's 17%.

Model
83%
Book
96%

Model minus book: -13 pts

Model
17%
Book
14%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mario Arce Fernandez at +623 · Model track record

Player comparison

Robin BertrandMario Arce Fernandez
Tennis Gauge rating65176216
Tour rankATP #496ATP #1512
Last 10 matches8-24-6
Last 30 days8-32-2
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record60-4338-24
UTR13.8613.14
Elo (52 weeks)1339–
Best surfaceHard–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Robin Bertrand leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Robin Bertrand6-4, 6-0Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Robin Bertrand, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Liam Gavrielides L6-2, 6-2
23.10.2026Maxence Rivet W6-2, 6-4
22.10.2026Carles Hernandez W7-5, 6-1
21.10.2026Mario Arce Fernandez W6-4, 6-0
18.10.2026Luca Wiedenmann L7-6, 6-0
17.10.2026Sergio Callejon Hernando W6-2, 6-7, 6-2
16.10.2026Felix Roussel W7-5, 6-3
16.10.2026Felix Roussel W7-5, 6-3
15.10.2026Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf W6-1, 6-1
14.10.2026Mohamed Ali Abibsi W6-2, 6-4

Mario Arce Fernandez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Robin Bertrand L6-4, 6-0
14.10.2026Rocco Piatti L6-4, 6-2
06.10.2026Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas L1-6, 6-3, 6-4
05.10.2026Daniel Batista W6-2, 6-2
04.10.2026David Aguiar Johansson W6-3, 6-1
17.09.2026Carles Cordoba L6-4, 6-0
16.09.2026Leonardo Borrelli W6-4, 6-0
09.09.2026Sander Jong L6-1, 6-2
08.09.2026Bernardo Munk Mesa W3-6, 6-0, 7-6
02.09.2026Ryan Nijboer L4-6, 6-2, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentRobin BertrandMario Arce Fernandez
Chetanna Amadike 2-0
W 6-0, 6-2, W 6-0, 6-2
1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
Rocco Piatti 1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2

Robin Bertrand vs Mario Arce Fernandez: quick answers

Who won Robin Bertrand vs Mario Arce Fernandez?

Robin Bertrand beat Mario Arce Fernandez 6-4, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Robin Bertrand and Mario Arce Fernandez?

Robin Bertrand leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Robin Bertrand 6-4, 6-0 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Robin Bertrand or Mario Arce Fernandez?

Robin Bertrand is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mario Arce Fernandez is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Robin Bertrand and Mario Arce Fernandez?

Robin Bertrand is rated 6517 (ATP #496) and Mario Arce Fernandez is rated 6216 (ATP #1512). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Robin Bertrand vs Mario Arce Fernandez?

Robin Bertrand is priced at -2500 and Mario Arce Fernandez at +623, which implies a 96% and 14% chance to win. The model rates Mario Arce Fernandez 3 points higher than the odds do (17% vs 14%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.