Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Marin Cilic
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marin Cilic, giving them a 65% chance to win against Nikoloz Basilashvili (35%). Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Basilashvili is 7-3 in their last 10, Cilic 2-8. At +100, the odds imply 50% for Marin Cilic, below the model's 65%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marin Cilic a 65% favorite. At +100 the sportsbook implies 50% for Marin Cilic, 15 points below the model's 65%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marin Cilic at +100 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Marin Cilic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6843 | 6866 |
| Tour rank | ATP #87 | ATP #66 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 10-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 36-35 | 15-20 |
| UTR | 15.55 | 15.71 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1637 | 1782 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2, 7-5 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Nikoloz Basilashvili, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Jurij Rodionov | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 18.10.2026 | Adam Walton | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 6-3, 2-2 |
Marin Cilic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Adam Walton | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 15.08.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.08.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.08.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 29.06.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-1, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.06.2026 | Ugo Humbert | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Nikoloz Basilashvili | Marin Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Adrian Mannarino | 1-1 W 6-3, 6-1, L 6-3, 2-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-1 W 2-6, 6-4, 7-6, L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Daniel Altmaier | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
1-1 L 6-2, 6-3, W 6-0, 6-0, 7-6 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1-0 W 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-2, 6-4, L 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Ethan Quinn | 0-1 L 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Marin Cilic 67% at +117
- 2026-10-18: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Marin Cilic 67% at +117
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Marin Cilic: quick answers
Who will win Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Marin Cilic?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marin Cilic, giving them a 65% chance to win against Nikoloz Basilashvili (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Marin Cilic?
Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-2, 7-5 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Nikoloz Basilashvili or Marin Cilic?
Nikoloz Basilashvili is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Marin Cilic is 2-8 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Nikoloz Basilashvili and Marin Cilic?
Nikoloz Basilashvili is rated 6843 (ATP #87) and Marin Cilic is rated 6866 (ATP #66). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Marin Cilic?
Nikoloz Basilashvili is priced at -125 and Marin Cilic at +100, which implies a 56% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Marin Cilic 15 points higher than the odds do (65% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.