Marika Jones vs Yiru Chen
Updated
Marika Jones beat Yiru Chen 6-3, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yiru Chen at 56%. Marika Jones leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jones is 5-5 in their last 10, Chen 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yiru Chen a 56% favorite. At +400 the sportsbook implies 20% for Marika Jones, 24 points below the model's 44%.
Model minus book: +24 pts
Model minus book: -33 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marika Jones at +400 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marika Jones | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6078 | 6073 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1783 | WTA #1801 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 16-28 | 30-25 |
| UTR | 9.51 | 9.87 |
Head to head
Marika Jones leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Marika Jones | 6-3, 6-2 | China Qian Daohu |
Recent form
Marika Jones, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Yu Jun Lin | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Jiangxue Han | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Yiru Chen | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Isabella Crossman | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Patrycja Niewiadomska | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Gala Arangio | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Norah Davoodi | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Mingyue Deng | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.08.2026 | Yanan Hou | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 16.08.2026 | Yui Chikaraishi | L | 1-6, 6-0, 10-7 |
Yiru Chen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Marika Jones | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Daria Egorova | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Anna Yang | W | 1-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Meiling Wang | W | 7-6, 3-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Eva Marie Desvignes | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Savannah Dada Mascoll | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 09.09.2026 | Doga Turkmen | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Klara Vaja | W | 6-7, 6-1, 10-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Sophie Bekker | W | 7-5, 4-6, 1-0 |
| 03.09.2026 | Riko Kikawada | L | 6-2, 4-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: WTA Qian Daohu (China), model gave Marika Jones 44% at +400
Marika Jones vs Yiru Chen: quick answers
Who won Marika Jones vs Yiru Chen?
Marika Jones beat Yiru Chen 6-3, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yiru Chen at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Marika Jones and Yiru Chen?
Marika Jones leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Marika Jones 6-3, 6-2 at China Qian Daohu.
Who is in better form, Marika Jones or Yiru Chen?
Marika Jones is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Yiru Chen is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marika Jones and Yiru Chen?
Marika Jones is rated 6078 (WTA #1783) and Yiru Chen is rated 6073 (WTA #1801). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marika Jones vs Yiru Chen?
Marika Jones is priced at +400 and Yiru Chen at -769, which implies a 20% and 88% chance to win. The model rates Marika Jones 24 points higher than the odds do (44% vs 20%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.