Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marie Vogt, giving them a 86% chance to win against Sofia Camila Rojas (14%). Marie Vogt leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vogt is 6-4 in their last 10, Rojas 7-3. At -141, the odds imply 59% for Marie Vogt, below the model's 86%.
Prediction
The model makes Marie Vogt a 86% favorite. At -141 the sportsbook implies 59% for Marie Vogt, 27 points below the model's 86%.
Model minus book: +27 pts
Model minus book: -36 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marie Vogt at -141 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marie Vogt | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6499 | 6338 |
| Tour rank | WTA #549 | WTA #885 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 7-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 54-24 | 48-21 |
| UTR | 11.22 | 10.61 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1287 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Marie Vogt leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marie Vogt | 6-3, 6-4 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Marie Vogt, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Nahjime Dho | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Yui Watanabe | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Kayo Nishimura | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sofia Camila Rojas | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Baotong Xu | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Polina Berezina | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Daria Yesypchuk | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Lidia Encheva | L | 6-7, 6-0, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | L | 6-1, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Ekaterina Yashina | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Sofia Camila Rojas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Baotong Xu | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Abigeyle Bhopal | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Marie Vogt | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Adelina Lachinova | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Oriana Gniewkowska | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Vaishnavi Adkar | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Vaishnavi Adkar | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ada Kumru | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Chelsea Fontenel | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Nina Sozaonova | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marie Vogt | Sofia Camila Rojas |
|---|---|---|
| Baotong Xu | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA Monastir (X) I (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 86% at -141
- 2026-10-31: WTA Monastir (X) I (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 86% at -141
- 2026-10-30: WTA Monastir (X) I (Tunisia), model gave Marie Vogt 86% at -141
Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas: quick answers
Who will win Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marie Vogt, giving them a 86% chance to win against Sofia Camila Rojas (14%).
What is the head-to-head record between Marie Vogt and Sofia Camila Rojas?
Marie Vogt leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 23, 2026, won by Marie Vogt 6-3, 6-4 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Marie Vogt or Sofia Camila Rojas?
Marie Vogt is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Sofia Camila Rojas is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marie Vogt and Sofia Camila Rojas?
Marie Vogt is rated 6499 (WTA #549) and Sofia Camila Rojas is rated 6338 (WTA #885). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Marie Vogt is priced at -141 and Sofia Camila Rojas at -102, which implies a 59% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Marie Vogt 27 points higher than the odds do (86% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.