Marie Vogt vs Polina Berezina
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marie Vogt, giving them a 94% chance to win against Polina Berezina (6%). Marie Vogt leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vogt is 6-4 in their last 10, Berezina 5-5. At -192, the odds imply 66% for Marie Vogt, below the model's 94%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marie Vogt a 94% favorite. At -192 the sportsbook implies 66% for Marie Vogt, 28 points below the model's 94%.
Model minus book: +28 pts
Model minus book: -35 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marie Vogt at -192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marie Vogt | Polina Berezina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6499 | 6322 |
| Tour rank | WTA #549 | WTA #926 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 5-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 54-24 | 8-7 |
| UTR | 11.22 | 10.33 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1287 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Marie Vogt leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Marie Vogt | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Marie Vogt, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Nahjime Dho | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Yui Watanabe | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Kayo Nishimura | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sofia Camila Rojas | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Baotong Xu | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Polina Berezina | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Daria Yesypchuk | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Lidia Encheva | L | 6-7, 6-0, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | L | 6-1, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Ekaterina Yashina | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Polina Berezina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Marie Vogt | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Savannah Dada Mascoll | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tiphanie Lemaitre | L | 5-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Camila Zouein Yaez | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Ada Kumru | W | 6-0, 4-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Ria Ferguson | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Sophia Biolay | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Matilde Mariani | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ada Kumru | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Chukwumelije Clarke | L | 4-6, 0-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Marie Vogt vs Polina Berezina: quick answers
Who will win Marie Vogt vs Polina Berezina?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marie Vogt, giving them a 94% chance to win against Polina Berezina (6%).
What is the head-to-head record between Marie Vogt and Polina Berezina?
Marie Vogt leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Marie Vogt 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Marie Vogt or Polina Berezina?
Marie Vogt is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Polina Berezina is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marie Vogt and Polina Berezina?
Marie Vogt is rated 6499 (WTA #549) and Polina Berezina is rated 6322 (WTA #926). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marie Vogt vs Polina Berezina?
Marie Vogt is priced at -192 and Polina Berezina at +143, which implies a 66% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Marie Vogt 28 points higher than the odds do (94% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.