Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor
Updated
Tallon Griekspoor beat Mariano Navone 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mariano Navone at 66%. Tallon Griekspoor leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Navone is 3-7 in their last 10, Griekspoor 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mariano Navone a 66% favorite. At +165 the sportsbook implies 38% for Mariano Navone, 28 points below the model's 66%.
Model minus book: +28 pts
Model minus book: -34 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mariano Navone at +165 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mariano Navone | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6916 | 6887 |
| Tour rank | ATP #28 | ATP #49 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 31-27 | 23-26 |
| UTR | 15.89 | 15.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1799 | 1760 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Tallon Griekspoor leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | 7-6, 7-5 | Belgium Brussels |
Recent form
Mariano Navone, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Pablo Carreno Busta | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 04.09.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L | 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Novak Djokovic | W | 7-6, 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 25.08.2026 | James Duckworth | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.08.2026 | Alexander Blockx | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Tallon Griekspoor, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | W | 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | W | 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Max Schoenhaus | W | 7-6, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-4, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mariano Navone | Tallon Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Alexander Blockx | 1-1 L 6-3, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Alexander Zverev | 0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-2 L 6-4, 7-5, W 6-7, 6-2, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-0 |
| Andrey Rublev | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-1 L 6-4, 5-7, 7-6, W 7-5, 7-6 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Cameron Norrie | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 12-19, 19-20, 18-7, 18-10, 2-1 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-4, 7-6, L 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| James Duckworth | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Jan Lennard Struff | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Quentin Halys | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
| Raphael Collignon | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor: quick answers
Who won Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Tallon Griekspoor beat Mariano Navone 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mariano Navone at 66%.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariano Navone and Tallon Griekspoor?
Tallon Griekspoor leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Tallon Griekspoor 7-6, 7-5 at Belgium Brussels.
Who is in better form, Mariano Navone or Tallon Griekspoor?
Mariano Navone is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Tallon Griekspoor is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mariano Navone and Tallon Griekspoor?
Mariano Navone is rated 6916 (ATP #28) and Tallon Griekspoor is rated 6887 (ATP #49). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Mariano Navone is priced at +165 and Tallon Griekspoor at -213, which implies a 38% and 68% chance to win. The model rates Mariano Navone 28 points higher than the odds do (66% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.