Noemi Maines vs Maria Toma

WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Noemi Maines beat Maria Toma 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Noemi Maines leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Maines is 6-4 in their last 10, Toma 3-7.

Result: Noemi Maines beat Maria Toma 6-4, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Noemi Maines a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
52%
Book
49%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Maria Toma -154
Model
48%
Book
61%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Noemi Maines at +105 · Model track record

Player comparison

Noemi MainesMaria Toma
Tennis Gauge rating63076356
Tour rankWTA #968WTA #840
Last 10 matches6-43-7
Last 30 days1-22-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record35-2527-28
UTR10.5610.46

Head to head

Noemi Maines leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Noemi Maines6-4, 6-4Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula

Recent form

Noemi Maines, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Emily Victoria Eigelsbach L6-1, 7-6
27.10.2026Laura Boehner W6-2, 7-5
23.10.2026Charo Esquiva Banuls L6-1, 6-2
22.10.2026Maria Andrienko W6-3, 6-0
21.10.2026Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W2-6, 6-1, 7-6
20.10.2026Maria Paredes Perez W6-1, 6-2
15.10.2026Natalija Senic L6-3, 6-4
14.10.2026Maria Toma W6-4, 6-4
23.09.2026Sara Cakarevic L6-4, 7-6
22.09.2026Barbara Dessolis W4-6, 6-1, 10-8

Maria Toma, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Matilde Mariani L5-7, 6-3, 10-8
19.10.2026Galatea Ferro W6-2, 6-0
14.10.2026Noemi Maines L6-4, 6-4
13.10.2026Laura Boehner W6-1, 6-1
06.10.2026Agnese Gentili L6-4, 6-7, 12-10
05.10.2026Benedetta Ortenzi W6-1, 6-1
20.09.2026Aneta Laboutkova L6-2, 6-1
16.09.2026Matilde Paoletti L7-6, 6-3
06.09.2026Iveta Dapkute L3-6, 6-3, 7-5
31.08.2026Rebecca Munk Mortensen L6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentNoemi MainesMaria Toma
Agnese Gentili 1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 12-10
Charo Esquiva Banuls 0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
0-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 10-7
Laetitia Pulchartova 1-0
W 2-6, 6-0, 10-5
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Laura Boehner 1-0
W 6-2, 7-5
1-0
W 6-1, 6-1
Matilde Paoletti 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) (Italy), model gave Noemi Maines 52% at +105

Noemi Maines vs Maria Toma: quick answers

Who won Noemi Maines vs Maria Toma?

Noemi Maines beat Maria Toma 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Noemi Maines and Maria Toma?

Noemi Maines leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Noemi Maines 6-4, 6-4 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.

Who is in better form, Noemi Maines or Maria Toma?

Noemi Maines is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Toma is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Noemi Maines and Maria Toma?

Noemi Maines is rated 6307 (WTA #968) and Maria Toma is rated 6356 (WTA #840). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Noemi Maines vs Maria Toma?

Noemi Maines is priced at +105 and Maria Toma at -154, which implies a 49% and 61% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.