Xinran Sun vs Maria Timofeeva
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Maria Timofeeva, giving them a 80% chance to win against Xinran Sun (20%). Xinran Sun leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sun is 9-1 in their last 10, Timofeeva 7-3. At -175, the odds imply 64% for Maria Timofeeva, below the model's 80%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Maria Timofeeva a 80% favorite. At -175 the sportsbook implies 64% for Maria Timofeeva, 17 points below the model's 80%.
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Timofeeva at -175 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Xinran Sun | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6723 | 6944 |
| Tour rank | WTA #268 | WTA #95 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 31-10 | 46-21 |
| UTR | 11.74 | 12.29 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1792 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Grass |
Head to head
Xinran Sun leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Xinran Sun | 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 | China Guangzhou |
Recent form
Xinran Sun, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Maria Timofeeva | W | 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Coco Gauff | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Cristina Bucsa | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Eva Lys | W | 6-1, 3-0 |
| 12.09.2026 | Anna Pushkareva | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 11.09.2026 | Chukwumelije Clarke | W | 7-5, 0-6, 6-1 |
| 10.09.2026 | Mariia Makarova | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Kristina Penickova | W | 7-5, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Thara Gowda | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
Maria Timofeeva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Xinran Sun | L | 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Teodora Kostovic | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 02.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Darja Vidmanova | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Reese Brantmeier | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Mia Pohankova | W | 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Sofia Johnson | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Elise Mertens | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Guangzhou (China), model gave Xinran Sun 20% at +137
Xinran Sun vs Maria Timofeeva: quick answers
Who will win Xinran Sun vs Maria Timofeeva?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Maria Timofeeva, giving them a 80% chance to win against Xinran Sun (20%).
What is the head-to-head record between Xinran Sun and Maria Timofeeva?
Xinran Sun leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Xinran Sun 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Xinran Sun or Maria Timofeeva?
Xinran Sun is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Maria Timofeeva is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Xinran Sun and Maria Timofeeva?
Xinran Sun is rated 6723 (WTA #268) and Maria Timofeeva is rated 6944 (WTA #95). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Xinran Sun vs Maria Timofeeva?
Xinran Sun is priced at +137 and Maria Timofeeva at -175, which implies a 42% and 64% chance to win. The model rates Maria Timofeeva 17 points higher than the odds do (80% vs 64%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.