Sofia Montesinos vs Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas, giving them a 52% chance to win against Sofia Montesinos (48%). Sofia Montesinos leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Montesinos is 5-5 in their last 10, Casas 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas at -118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sofia Montesinos | Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5885 | 5963 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2598 | WTA #2291 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 17-19 | 9-10 |
| UTR | 9.36 | 9.49 |
Head to head
Sofia Montesinos leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Sofia Montesinos | 7-5, 6-4 | Spain Villena |
Recent form
Sofia Montesinos, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Carla Guerrero Calvo | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Maryia Kolas | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Laura Rabasco Segura | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 06.09.2026 | Defne Cirpanli | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | Aliesia Reva | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 01.09.2026 | Carlota Vila Salles | W | 5-7, 6-0, 15-13 |
| 31.08.2026 | Sofia Albiac Badia | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.08.2026 | Kate Sharabura | L | 6-2, 4-6, 10-6 |
| 24.08.2026 | Julia Sureda | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Sofia Montesinos | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Ana Valbuena Moran | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Maria Kalyakina | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Ekaterina Agureeva | W | 3-6, 6-2, 10-7 |
| 04.10.2026 | Simona Cucu | W | 6-2, 6-7, 11-9 |
| 06.09.2026 | Merel Hoedt | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.06.2026 | Alana Subasic | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 25.05.2026 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.05.2026 | Laura Carvalho E Silva Kracke | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 06.05.2026 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: WTA Villena (Spain), model gave Sofia Montesinos 48% at -125
- 2026-10-18: WTA Villena (Spain), model gave Sofia Montesinos 58% at -125
Sofia Montesinos vs Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas: quick answers
Who will win Sofia Montesinos vs Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas, giving them a 52% chance to win against Sofia Montesinos (48%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sofia Montesinos and Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas?
Sofia Montesinos leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Sofia Montesinos 7-5, 6-4 at Spain Villena.
Who is in better form, Sofia Montesinos or Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas?
Sofia Montesinos is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sofia Montesinos and Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas?
Sofia Montesinos is rated 5885 (WTA #2598) and Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas is rated 5963 (WTA #2291). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sofia Montesinos vs Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas?
Sofia Montesinos is priced at -125 and Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas at -118, which implies a 56% and 54% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.