Sophie Luescher vs Maria Mikhailova
Updated
Sophie Luescher beat Maria Mikhailova 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sophie Luescher leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Luescher is 8-2 in their last 10, Mikhailova 2-8.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sophie Luescher a 78% favorite. At +613 the sportsbook implies 14% for Maria Mikhailova, 8 points below the model's 22%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Mikhailova at +613 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sophie Luescher | Maria Mikhailova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6237 | 5977 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1189 | WTA #2227 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 35-16 | 11-26 |
| UTR | 10.22 | 9.37 |
Head to head
Sophie Luescher leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | 6-2, 6-0 | Republic of Moldova Chisinau |
| 08.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | 6-1, 3-6, 6-0 | Republic of Moldova Chisinau |
Recent form
Sophie Luescher, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Celia Cervino Ruiz | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Analu Freitas | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Matilde Novais | W | 2-6, 6-2, 10-8 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giulia Safina Popa | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sara Victoria Balan | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sara Victoria Balan | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Melinda Biro | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maria Mikhailova | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Maria Mikhailova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | L | 6-1, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 07.10.2026 | Melissa Boyden | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 11.08.2026 | Zeel Desai | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 04.08.2026 | Ha Eum Lee | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 28.07.2026 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 14.07.2026 | Daria Belyaeva | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.07.2026 | Amina Nurmakhan | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.07.2026 | Disha Behera | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.06.2026 | Federica Sacco | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA of Moldova Chisinau (X) (Republic of Moldova), model gave Sophie Luescher 78% at -2000
- 2026-10-12: WTA of Moldova Chisinau (X) (Republic of Moldova), model gave Sophie Luescher 78% at -2000
- 2026-10-07: WTA of Moldova Chisinau (Republic of Moldova), model gave Maria Mikhailova 21% at +800
Sophie Luescher vs Maria Mikhailova: quick answers
Who won Sophie Luescher vs Maria Mikhailova?
Sophie Luescher beat Maria Mikhailova 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Sophie Luescher and Maria Mikhailova?
Sophie Luescher leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Sophie Luescher 6-2, 6-0 at Republic of Moldova Chisinau.
Who is in better form, Sophie Luescher or Maria Mikhailova?
Sophie Luescher is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Mikhailova is 2-8 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sophie Luescher and Maria Mikhailova?
Sophie Luescher is rated 6237 (WTA #1189) and Maria Mikhailova is rated 5977 (WTA #2227). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sophie Luescher vs Maria Mikhailova?
Sophie Luescher is priced at -2000 and Maria Mikhailova at +613, which implies a 95% and 14% chance to win. The model rates Maria Mikhailova 8 points higher than the odds do (22% vs 14%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.