Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia
Updated
Maria Florencia Urrutia beat Valentina Mediorreal Arias 6-4, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Arias is 3-7 in their last 10, Urrutia 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Maria Florencia Urrutia a 93% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Florencia Urrutia at -3333 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Valentina Mediorreal Arias | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6024 | 6254 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2020 | WTA #1142 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 12-25 | 38-26 |
| UTR | 9.86 | 10.72 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1255 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Maria Florencia Urrutia | 6-4, 6-0 | Brazil Maceio |
Recent form
Valentina Mediorreal Arias, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Ana Sofia Sanchez | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Gabriela Guapindaia Soares | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maria Florencia Urrutia | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 09.09.2026 | Anna Blinkova | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 04.09.2026 | Ana Sofia Sanchez | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 03.09.2026 | Gabriela Kawano Cho | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 26.08.2026 | Romina Ccuno | L | 6-0, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 04.08.2026 | Lourdes Ayala | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.07.2026 | Daria Egorova | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
Maria Florencia Urrutia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Francesca Jones | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Marjorie Souza | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Josefina Estevez | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Barbara Gatica | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sabrina Dias | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 10.10.2026 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso | L | 0-6, 6-3, 10-7 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zoe Doldan | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | Maria Florencia Urrutia |
|---|---|---|
| Ana Candiotto | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Camila Romero | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Fernanda Labrana | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Lourdes Ayala | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Luisina Giovannini | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Maceio (Brazil), model gave Valentina Mediorreal Arias 7% at +801
Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia: quick answers
Who won Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Maria Florencia Urrutia beat Valentina Mediorreal Arias 6-4, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Valentina Mediorreal Arias and Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Maria Florencia Urrutia 6-4, 6-0 at Brazil Maceio.
Who is in better form, Valentina Mediorreal Arias or Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Valentina Mediorreal Arias is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Florencia Urrutia is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Valentina Mediorreal Arias and Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Valentina Mediorreal Arias is rated 6024 (WTA #2020) and Maria Florencia Urrutia is rated 6254 (WTA #1142). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Valentina Mediorreal Arias is priced at +801 and Maria Florencia Urrutia at -3333, which implies a 11% and 97% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.