Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia

WTA Maceio (Brazil), Indoors. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 07:30.

Updated

Maria Florencia Urrutia beat Sabrina Dias 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dias is 5-5 in their last 10, Urrutia 6-4.

Result: Maria Florencia Urrutia beat Sabrina Dias 6-4, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Maria Florencia Urrutia a 95% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
5%
Book
12%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model
95%
Book
95%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Florencia Urrutia at -2000 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sabrina DiasMaria Florencia Urrutia
Tennis Gauge rating57016254
Tour rankWTA #3286WTA #1142
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days3-26-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record10-938-26
UTR9.1410.72
Elo (52 weeks)–1255
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Maria Florencia Urrutia6-4, 6-3Brazil Maceio

Recent form

Sabrina Dias, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Marjorie Souza L6-3, 0-5
20.10.2026Maria Fernanda Lopes W6-3, 6-4
15.10.2026Maria Florencia Urrutia L6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Luiza Sana W7-5, 6-2
12.10.2026Gabriela Guapindaia Soares W6-0, 6-2
24.09.2026Paola Lopez L6-1, 6-0
22.09.2026Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues W6-4, 6-4
17.09.2026Josefina Estevez L6-1, 6-3
15.09.2026Maria Paula W6-1, 6-0
03.09.2026Ana Candiotto L7-6, 6-3

Maria Florencia Urrutia, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Francesca Jones L7-5, 6-1
24.10.2026Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele L4-6, 6-2, 6-4
23.10.2026Marjorie Souza W6-3, 6-4
22.10.2026Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior W6-3, 6-2
21.10.2026Josefina Estevez W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Barbara Gatica L6-3, 5-7, 6-3
15.10.2026Sabrina Dias W6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Valentina Mediorreal Arias W6-4, 6-0
10.10.2026Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso L0-6, 6-3, 10-7
08.10.2026Zoe Doldan W6-4, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSabrina DiasMaria Florencia Urrutia
Ana Candiotto 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Isabella Barrera Aguirre 0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
3-0
W 6-3, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-0
Jennifer Rosa Dourado Zimermman 0-1
L 0-6, 6-4, 15-13
1-0
W 6-0, 6-0
Josefina Estevez 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
2-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 7-6, 6-1
Lourdes Ayala 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Marjorie Souza 0-1
L 6-3, 0-5
2-0
W 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: WTA Maceio (Brazil), model gave Sabrina Dias 5% at +750

Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia: quick answers

Who won Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?

Maria Florencia Urrutia beat Sabrina Dias 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Sabrina Dias and Maria Florencia Urrutia?

Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Maria Florencia Urrutia 6-4, 6-3 at Brazil Maceio.

Who is in better form, Sabrina Dias or Maria Florencia Urrutia?

Sabrina Dias is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Florencia Urrutia is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sabrina Dias and Maria Florencia Urrutia?

Sabrina Dias is rated 5701 (WTA #3286) and Maria Florencia Urrutia is rated 6254 (WTA #1142). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?

Sabrina Dias is priced at +750 and Maria Florencia Urrutia at -2000, which implies a 12% and 95% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.