Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia
Updated
Maria Florencia Urrutia beat Sabrina Dias 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dias is 5-5 in their last 10, Urrutia 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Maria Florencia Urrutia a 95% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Florencia Urrutia at -2000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sabrina Dias | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5701 | 6254 |
| Tour rank | WTA #3286 | WTA #1142 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 10-9 | 38-26 |
| UTR | 9.14 | 10.72 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1255 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Maria Florencia Urrutia | 6-4, 6-3 | Brazil Maceio |
Recent form
Sabrina Dias, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Marjorie Souza | L | 6-3, 0-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Maria Fernanda Lopes | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Maria Florencia Urrutia | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Luiza Sana | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Gabriela Guapindaia Soares | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Paola Lopez | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.09.2026 | Josefina Estevez | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Maria Paula | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 03.09.2026 | Ana Candiotto | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
Maria Florencia Urrutia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Francesca Jones | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Marjorie Souza | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Josefina Estevez | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Barbara Gatica | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sabrina Dias | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 10.10.2026 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso | L | 0-6, 6-3, 10-7 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zoe Doldan | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sabrina Dias | Maria Florencia Urrutia |
|---|---|---|
| Ana Candiotto | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Isabella Barrera Aguirre | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
3-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Jennifer Rosa Dourado Zimermman | 0-1 L 0-6, 6-4, 15-13 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-0 |
| Josefina Estevez | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
2-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Lourdes Ayala | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Marjorie Souza | 0-1 L 6-3, 0-5 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: WTA Maceio (Brazil), model gave Sabrina Dias 5% at +750
Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia: quick answers
Who won Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Maria Florencia Urrutia beat Sabrina Dias 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Sabrina Dias and Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Maria Florencia Urrutia leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Maria Florencia Urrutia 6-4, 6-3 at Brazil Maceio.
Who is in better form, Sabrina Dias or Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Sabrina Dias is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Florencia Urrutia is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sabrina Dias and Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Sabrina Dias is rated 5701 (WTA #3286) and Maria Florencia Urrutia is rated 6254 (WTA #1142). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sabrina Dias vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Sabrina Dias is priced at +750 and Maria Florencia Urrutia at -2000, which implies a 12% and 95% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.