Sabrina Dias vs Maria Fernanda Lopes

WTA Joao Pessoa (Brazil), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 05:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sabrina Dias, giving them a 56% chance to win against Maria Fernanda Lopes (44%). Sabrina Dias leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dias is 5-5 in their last 10, Lopes 5-5.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sabrina Dias a 56% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
56%
Book
60%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model
44%
Book
49%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sabrina Dias at -149 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sabrina DiasMaria Fernanda Lopes
Tennis Gauge rating57015515
Tour rankWTA #3286WTA #3832
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days4-21-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record10-95-6
UTR9.148.79

Head to head

Sabrina Dias leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Sabrina Dias6-3, 6-4Brazil Joao Pessoa

Recent form

Sabrina Dias, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Marjorie Souza L6-3, 0-5
20.10.2026Maria Fernanda Lopes W6-3, 6-4
15.10.2026Maria Florencia Urrutia L6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Luiza Sana W7-5, 6-2
12.10.2026Gabriela Guapindaia Soares W6-0, 6-2
24.09.2026Paola Lopez L6-1, 6-0
22.09.2026Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues W6-4, 6-4
17.09.2026Josefina Estevez L6-1, 6-3
15.09.2026Maria Paula W6-1, 6-0
03.09.2026Ana Candiotto L7-6, 6-3

Maria Fernanda Lopes, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Sabrina Dias L6-3, 6-4
15.10.2026Josefina Estevez L6-0, 6-1
14.10.2026Vitoria Zuccon W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
19.08.2026Natalia Sousa Salazar L6-4, 2-6, 6-4
18.08.2026Bianca Mendonca Bia Bernardes W6-3, 2-6, 12-10
17.08.2026Camila Sofia Barrera Aguirre W6-3, 6-3
13.08.2026Marjorie Souza L6-0, 6-4
12.08.2026Catarina Melleiro Ibiraba Melleiro Junior W6-4, 6-2
23.02.2026Sandra Victoria Talamo Pinto W6-4, 6-3
26.11.2025Cindy Langlais L3-6, 6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSabrina DiasMaria Fernanda Lopes
Josefina Estevez 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 6-0, 6-1
Marjorie Souza 0-1
L 6-3, 0-5
0-1
L 6-0, 6-4

Sabrina Dias vs Maria Fernanda Lopes: quick answers

Who will win Sabrina Dias vs Maria Fernanda Lopes?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sabrina Dias, giving them a 56% chance to win against Maria Fernanda Lopes (44%).

What is the head-to-head record between Sabrina Dias and Maria Fernanda Lopes?

Sabrina Dias leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Sabrina Dias 6-3, 6-4 at Brazil Joao Pessoa.

Who is in better form, Sabrina Dias or Maria Fernanda Lopes?

Sabrina Dias is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Fernanda Lopes is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sabrina Dias and Maria Fernanda Lopes?

Sabrina Dias is rated 5701 (WTA #3286) and Maria Fernanda Lopes is rated 5515 (WTA #3832). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sabrina Dias vs Maria Fernanda Lopes?

Sabrina Dias is priced at -149 and Maria Fernanda Lopes at +105, which implies a 60% and 49% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.