Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez vs Vittoria Paganetti
Updated
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez beat Vittoria Paganetti 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Vittoria Paganetti at 77%. Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Gonzalez is 6-4 in their last 10, Paganetti 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Vittoria Paganetti a 77% favorite. At +637 the sportsbook implies 14% for Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez, 9 points below the model's 23%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez at +637 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6274 | 6453 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1085 | WTA #626 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 28-26 | 27-24 |
| UTR | 10.2 | 10.97 |
Head to head
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | 6-3, 6-4 | Greece Heraklion |
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | 6-3, 6-4 | Greece Heraklion |
Recent form
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Victoria Rodriguez | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Vittoria Paganetti | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Vittoria Paganetti | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Simona Ogescu | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Ipek Oz | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Mika Buchnik | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Giulia Safina Popa | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Melinda Biro | W | 0-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Anna Lena Ebster | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Vittoria Paganetti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alyssa Reguer | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Joanna Strzelecka | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Maayan Laron | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Alice Tubello | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Dunja Maric | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Alena Kovackova | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Camilla Gennaro | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Romane Longueville | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | Vittoria Paganetti |
|---|---|---|
| Oceane Babel | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Heraklion (XI) (Greece), model gave Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez 23% at +637
- 2026-10-14: WTA Heraklion (XI) (Greece), model gave Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez 23% at +637
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez vs Vittoria Paganetti: quick answers
Who won Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez vs Vittoria Paganetti?
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez beat Vittoria Paganetti 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Vittoria Paganetti at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez and Vittoria Paganetti?
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez 6-3, 6-4 at Greece Heraklion.
Who is in better form, Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez or Vittoria Paganetti?
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Vittoria Paganetti is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez and Vittoria Paganetti?
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez is rated 6274 (WTA #1085) and Vittoria Paganetti is rated 6453 (WTA #626). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez vs Vittoria Paganetti?
Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez is priced at +637 and Vittoria Paganetti at -2500, which implies a 14% and 96% chance to win. The model rates Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez 9 points higher than the odds do (23% vs 14%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.