Simona Ogescu vs Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez

WTA Heraklion (XI) (Greece), Clay. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez beat Simona Ogescu 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ogescu is 5-5 in their last 10, Gonzalez 6-4.

Result: Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez beat Simona Ogescu 6-3, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez a 68% favorite. At -111 the sportsbook implies 53% for Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez, 15 points below the model's 68%.

Model
32%
Book
56%

Model minus book: -24 pts

Model
68%
Book
53%

Model minus book: +15 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez at -111 · Model track record

Player comparison

Simona OgescuMaria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez
Tennis Gauge rating62466274
Tour rankWTA #1163WTA #1085
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days1-15-3
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record28-3228-26
UTR10.1410.2

Head to head

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez6-3, 6-2Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Simona Ogescu, last 10

DateOpponentScore
13.10.2026Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez L6-3, 6-2
07.10.2026Despina Papamichail L6-2, 6-1
05.10.2026Sofia Kryvoruchko W6-7, 7-6, 7-5
10.09.2026Giulia Safina Popa L6-4, 6-4
09.09.2026Kristyna Paul W7-5, 6-3
05.09.2026Alesia Breaz L6-1, 6-4
04.09.2026Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru W7-5, 6-2
03.09.2026Joulia Cristiana Cirstea W6-2, 6-3
02.09.2026Ana Ioana Varsa W6-2, 3-6, 6-4
27.08.2026Maria Sara Popa L6-0, 6-7, 6-1

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Victoria Rodriguez L6-7, 6-1, 6-4
16.10.2026Vittoria Paganetti W6-3, 6-4
16.10.2026Vittoria Paganetti W6-3, 6-4
16.10.2026Alisa Oktiabreva L6-2, 6-1
13.10.2026Simona Ogescu W6-3, 6-2
06.10.2026Ipek Oz L6-0, 6-2
05.10.2026Mika Buchnik W6-2, 6-4
25.09.2026Giulia Safina Popa L6-4, 6-2
24.09.2026Melinda Biro W0-6, 7-5, 6-2
23.09.2026Anna Lena Ebster W6-4, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSimona OgescuMaria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez
Giulia Safina Popa 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: WTA Heraklion (XI) (Greece), model gave Simona Ogescu 32% at -127

Simona Ogescu vs Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez: quick answers

Who won Simona Ogescu vs Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez?

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez beat Simona Ogescu 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Simona Ogescu and Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez?

Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez 6-3, 6-2 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Simona Ogescu or Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez?

Simona Ogescu is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Simona Ogescu and Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez?

Simona Ogescu is rated 6246 (WTA #1163) and Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez is rated 6274 (WTA #1085). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Simona Ogescu vs Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez?

Simona Ogescu is priced at -127 and Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez at -111, which implies a 56% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez 15 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.