Mathilde Lollia vs Margaux Maquet
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Margaux Maquet, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mathilde Lollia (35%). Margaux Maquet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lollia is 5-5 in their last 10, Maquet 6-4. At -161, the odds imply 62% for Margaux Maquet, below the model's 65%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Margaux Maquet a 65% favorite. At -161 the sportsbook implies 62% for Margaux Maquet, 3 points below the model's 65%.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Margaux Maquet at -161 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mathilde Lollia | Margaux Maquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6529 | 6490 |
| Tour rank | WTA #499 | WTA #566 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Wins |
| Season record | 22-24 | 59-24 |
| UTR | 10.8 | 11.13 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1477 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Margaux Maquet leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Margaux Maquet | 6-2, 6-3 | France Poitiers |
Recent form
Mathilde Lollia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Margaux Maquet | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Amandine Monnot | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Paula Ormaechea | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Clara Burel | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Darja Semenistaja | W | 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Loes Ebeling Koning | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Maria Martinez Vaquero | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Juliana Giaccio | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Carolyn Ansari | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Martha Matoula | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
Margaux Maquet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Mathilde Lollia | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Matilde Jorge | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Diana Marcinkevica | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mayuka Aikawa | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Emma Lene | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lucie Petruzelova | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | Amy Sucha | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Merel Hoedt | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 13.09.2026 | Stefania Bojica | W | 1-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mathilde Lollia | Margaux Maquet |
|---|---|---|
| Carlota Martinez Cirez | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Loes Ebeling Koning | 1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Lucie Petruzelova | 1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Seda Baslilar | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 1-6, 10-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Poitiers (France), model gave Mathilde Lollia 35% at +115
Mathilde Lollia vs Margaux Maquet: quick answers
Who will win Mathilde Lollia vs Margaux Maquet?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Margaux Maquet, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mathilde Lollia (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Mathilde Lollia and Margaux Maquet?
Margaux Maquet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Margaux Maquet 6-2, 6-3 at France Poitiers.
Who is in better form, Mathilde Lollia or Margaux Maquet?
Mathilde Lollia is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Margaux Maquet is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mathilde Lollia and Margaux Maquet?
Mathilde Lollia is rated 6529 (WTA #499) and Margaux Maquet is rated 6490 (WTA #566). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mathilde Lollia vs Margaux Maquet?
Mathilde Lollia is priced at +115 and Margaux Maquet at -161, which implies a 47% and 62% chance to win. The model rates Margaux Maquet 3 points higher than the odds do (65% vs 62%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.