Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marco Trungelliti, giving them a 90% chance to win against Tiago Pereira (10%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10, Pereira 4-6. At -455, the odds imply 82% for Marco Trungelliti, below the model's 90%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marco Trungelliti a 90% favorite. At -455 the sportsbook implies 82% for Marco Trungelliti, 8 points below the model's 90%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marco Trungelliti at -455 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marco Trungelliti | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6793 | 6583 |
| Tour rank | ATP #126 | ATP #381 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 41-32 | 40-40 |
| UTR | 15.4 | 13.97 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1643 | 1365 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 | Portugal Lisbon |
| 08.09.2026 | Tiago Pereira | 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 | Spain Sevilla |
Recent form
Marco Trungelliti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Alexander Ritschard | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Tiago Pereira | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Milos Karol | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Alex Molcan | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 28.09.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-1, 6-7, 7-6 |
Tiago Pereira, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Luka Mikrut | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Hugo Grenier | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Otto Virtanen | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Pavlos Tsitsipas | L | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.09.2026 | Filip Pieczonka | L | 5-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 14.09.2026 | Rudolf Molleker | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marco Trungelliti | Tiago Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Ritschard | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
| Filip Pieczonka | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
| Jaime Faria | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira: quick answers
Who will win Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marco Trungelliti, giving them a 90% chance to win against Tiago Pereira (10%).
What is the head-to-head record between Marco Trungelliti and Tiago Pereira?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Marco Trungelliti 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 at Portugal Lisbon.
Who is in better form, Marco Trungelliti or Tiago Pereira?
Marco Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tiago Pereira is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marco Trungelliti and Tiago Pereira?
Marco Trungelliti is rated 6793 (ATP #126) and Tiago Pereira is rated 6583 (ATP #381). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira?
Marco Trungelliti is priced at -455 and Tiago Pereira at +286, which implies a 82% and 26% chance to win. The model rates Marco Trungelliti 8 points higher than the odds do (90% vs 82%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.