Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro
Updated
Marco Trungelliti beat Thiago Monteiro 4-6, 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10, Monteiro 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marco Trungelliti a 71% favorite. At -172 the sportsbook implies 63% for Marco Trungelliti, 8 points below the model's 71%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marco Trungelliti at -172 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marco Trungelliti | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6793 | 6718 |
| Tour rank | ATP #126 | ATP #194 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 41-32 | 36-21 |
| UTR | 15.4 | 14.61 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1650 | 1565 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 | Portugal Maia |
| 19.09.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 | Poland Szczecin |
Recent form
Marco Trungelliti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Alexander Ritschard | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Tiago Pereira | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Milos Karol | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Alex Molcan | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 28.09.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-1, 6-7, 7-6 |
Thiago Monteiro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Vitaliy Sachko | W | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marco Trungelliti | Thiago Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Andrej Nedic | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Diego Dedura Palomero | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-2, W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Henrique Rocha | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-2, W 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, L 6-0, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Marco Trungelliti 71% at -172
Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro: quick answers
Who won Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro?
Marco Trungelliti beat Thiago Monteiro 4-6, 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Marco Trungelliti 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Marco Trungelliti or Thiago Monteiro?
Marco Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Thiago Monteiro is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro?
Marco Trungelliti is rated 6793 (ATP #126) and Thiago Monteiro is rated 6718 (ATP #194). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro?
Marco Trungelliti is priced at -172 and Thiago Monteiro at +123, which implies a 63% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Marco Trungelliti 8 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 63%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.