Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Marco Trungelliti beat Milos Karol 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Marco Trungelliti leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10, Karol 5-5.

Result: Marco Trungelliti beat Milos Karol 6-2, 6-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Marco Trungelliti a 90% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
90%
Book
88%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
10%
Book
21%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marco Trungelliti at -714 · Model track record

Player comparison

Marco TrungellitiMilos Karol
Tennis Gauge rating67936578
Tour rankATP #126ATP #386
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days4-33-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record41-3228-18
UTR15.414.04
Elo (52 weeks)1650–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceGrass–

Head to head

Marco Trungelliti leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Marco Trungelliti6-2, 6-0Portugal Maia

Recent form

Marco Trungelliti, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L6-1, 6-4
23.10.2026Matej Dodig W6-4, 6-2
21.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato W4-6, 7-6, 6-3
20.10.2026Tiago Pereira W7-6, 4-6, 6-1
16.10.2026Francesco Passaro L2-6, 7-5, 7-6
15.10.2026Milos Karol W6-2, 6-0
13.10.2026Thiago Monteiro W4-6, 6-1, 6-4
07.10.2026Rei Sakamoto L6-3, 7-5
29.09.2026Alex Molcan L6-4, 7-5
28.09.2026Martin Landaluce W6-1, 6-7, 7-6

Milos Karol, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Kai Wehnelt L6-3, 3-6, 6-2
15.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-2, 6-0
13.10.2026Florian Broska W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh W6-1, 5-7, 7-6
11.10.2026Dali Blanch W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
04.10.2026Tiago Cacao L6-4, 6-4
16.06.2026Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva L6-3, 5-7, 6-3
15.06.2026Luca Castelnuovo W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
14.06.2026Michael Vrbensky W7-6, 6-1
07.06.2026Nicolas Alvarez Varona L6-7, 6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMarco TrungellitiMilos Karol
Alex Molcan 0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Andrej Nedic 1-0
W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
Carlo Alberto Caniato 1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
Filip Pieczonka 1-0
W 6-7, 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
Hynek Barton 1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
1-0
W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4
Jay Clarke 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-2
Jonas Forejtek 1-0
W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 7-6
Max Houkes 1-0
W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-0

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Marco Trungelliti 90% at -714

Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol: quick answers

Who won Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol?

Marco Trungelliti beat Milos Karol 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Marco Trungelliti and Milos Karol?

Marco Trungelliti leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Marco Trungelliti 6-2, 6-0 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Marco Trungelliti or Milos Karol?

Marco Trungelliti is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Milos Karol is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Marco Trungelliti and Milos Karol?

Marco Trungelliti is rated 6793 (ATP #126) and Milos Karol is rated 6578 (ATP #386). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol?

Marco Trungelliti is priced at -714 and Milos Karol at +382, which implies a 88% and 21% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.