Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Vilius Gaubas, giving them a 58% chance to win against Marco Cecchinato (42%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Cecchinato is 4-6 in their last 10, Gaubas 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Vilius Gaubas a 58% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Vilius Gaubas at -185 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marco Cecchinato | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6741 | 6758 |
| Tour rank | ATP #164 | ATP #149 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 41-32 | 36-32 |
| UTR | 14.76 | 14.67 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1561 | 1594 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | 6-4, 6-3 | Portugal Lisbon |
| 26.08.2026 | Vilius Gaubas | 6-4, 6-3 | USA US Open |
Recent form
Marco Cecchinato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Vilius Gaubas | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Pedro Vives Marcos | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Olle Wallin | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 18.09.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 17.09.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Henri Squire | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Laslo Djere | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 03.09.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.09.2026 | Nick Hardt | W | 4-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
Vilius Gaubas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Luka Mikrut | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Duje Ajdukovic | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 19.09.2026 | Hamad Medjedovic | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Pavel Lagutin | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 28.08.2026 | Harry Wendelken | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Marco Cecchinato | Vilius Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Moro Canas | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-1 L 7-6, 6-2, W 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Arthur Gea | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Duje Ajdukovic | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Dusan Lajovic | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 7-5 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Francesco Forti | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Francesco Passaro | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Harry Wendelken | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Henri Squire | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 1-0 |
| Jesper De Jong | 0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
| Luca Van Assche | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-0, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2, 2-6, 7-5 |
| Max Houkes | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
0-2 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-4, L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Timofey Skatov | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Marco Cecchinato 50% at +136
- 2026-10-18: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Marco Cecchinato 50% at +136
Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas: quick answers
Who will win Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Vilius Gaubas, giving them a 58% chance to win against Marco Cecchinato (42%).
What is the head-to-head record between Marco Cecchinato and Vilius Gaubas?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Marco Cecchinato 6-4, 6-3 at Portugal Lisbon.
Who is in better form, Marco Cecchinato or Vilius Gaubas?
Marco Cecchinato is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Vilius Gaubas is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marco Cecchinato and Vilius Gaubas?
Marco Cecchinato is rated 6741 (ATP #164) and Vilius Gaubas is rated 6758 (ATP #149). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas?
Marco Cecchinato is priced at +132 and Vilius Gaubas at -185, which implies a 43% and 65% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.