Matteo Gribaldo vs Marcel Zielinski

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Marcel Zielinski, giving them a 74% chance to win against Matteo Gribaldo (26%). Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gribaldo is 6-4 in their last 10, Zielinski 3-7.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Marcel Zielinski a 74% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
26%
Book
27%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
74%
Book
83%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marcel Zielinski at -500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Matteo GribaldoMarcel Zielinski
Tennis Gauge rating64746428
Tour rankATP #580ATP #697
Last 10 matches6-43-7
Last 30 days1-11-3
Current streak5 Wins2 Losses
Season record6-744-27
UTR13.1313.66

Head to head

Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo6-3, 6-2Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X

Recent form

Matteo Gribaldo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Adrian Oetzbach W6-1, 6-3
23.10.2026Lorenzo Angelini W6-2, 6-2
22.10.2026Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini W1-6, 6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Eero Vasa W1-6, 6-4, 6-2
20.10.2026Marcel Zielinski W6-3, 6-2
25.09.2026Svit Suljic L6-3, 7-5
06.09.2026Emilio Camacho L6-4, 7-6
20.07.2026Pietro Romeo Scomparin L1-6, 6-2, 6-1
06.07.2026Jack Secord L5-7, 2-6
26.03.2026Navneet Raghuram W7-6, 6-4

Marcel Zielinski, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo L6-3, 6-2
14.10.2026Fausto Tabacco L6-2, 6-2
13.10.2026Martin Van Der Meerschen W6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Lukas Pokorny L6-4, 6-3
13.09.2026Kai Wehnelt L6-7, 6-2, 6-2
02.09.2026Liam Gavrielides L7-5, 7-5
28.08.2026Heorhii Shylov L6-3, 6-2
27.08.2026Alen Mujakic W6-0, 2-6, 6-2
25.08.2026Janis Graski W6-0, 6-2
22.08.2026Mykyta Mashtakov L1-6, 6-4, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Matteo Gribaldo vs Marcel Zielinski: quick answers

Who will win Matteo Gribaldo vs Marcel Zielinski?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Marcel Zielinski, giving them a 74% chance to win against Matteo Gribaldo (26%).

What is the head-to-head record between Matteo Gribaldo and Marcel Zielinski?

Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Matteo Gribaldo 6-3, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.

Who is in better form, Matteo Gribaldo or Marcel Zielinski?

Matteo Gribaldo is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Marcel Zielinski is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Matteo Gribaldo and Marcel Zielinski?

Matteo Gribaldo is rated 6474 (ATP #580) and Marcel Zielinski is rated 6428 (ATP #697). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Matteo Gribaldo vs Marcel Zielinski?

Matteo Gribaldo is priced at +272 and Marcel Zielinski at -500, which implies a 27% and 83% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.