Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Marcel Zielinski

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), Clay. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Marcel Zielinski beat Martin Van Der Meerschen 6-2, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Martin Van Der Meerschen at 51%. Marcel Zielinski leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Meerschen is 5-5 in their last 10, Zielinski 3-7.

Result: Marcel Zielinski beat Martin Van Der Meerschen 6-2, 6-2. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Martin Van Der Meerschen.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Martin Van Der Meerschen a 51% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
51%
Book
61%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
49%
Book
49%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Martin Van Der Meerschen at -154 · Model track record

Player comparison

Martin Van Der MeerschenMarcel Zielinski
Tennis Gauge rating64086428
Tour rankATP #760ATP #697
Last 10 matches5-53-7
Last 30 days5-30-1
Current streak3 Losses2 Losses
Season record35-2044-27
UTR13.7513.66

Head to head

Marcel Zielinski leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Marcel Zielinski6-2, 6-2Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX

Recent form

Martin Van Der Meerschen, last 10

DateOpponentScore
13.10.2026Marcel Zielinski L6-2, 6-2
07.10.2026Gabriele Crivellaro L6-2, 3-6, 7-6
03.10.2026Noah Lopez L1-6, 6-3, 6-3
02.10.2026Mak Mikovic W7-5, 6-3
01.10.2026Alessandro Battiston W6-3, 6-2
29.09.2026Gabriele Pennaforti W6-0, 6-7, 7-5
18.09.2026Florent Lagarrigue L7-6, 6-3
17.09.2026Matteo Vavassori W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
16.09.2026Radimir Lutkovskii W6-3, 6-2
10.09.2026Roman Kharlamov L6-3, 7-5

Marcel Zielinski, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo L6-3, 6-2
14.10.2026Fausto Tabacco L6-2, 6-2
13.10.2026Martin Van Der Meerschen W6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Lukas Pokorny L6-4, 6-3
13.09.2026Kai Wehnelt L6-7, 6-2, 6-2
02.09.2026Liam Gavrielides L7-5, 7-5
28.08.2026Heorhii Shylov L6-3, 6-2
27.08.2026Alen Mujakic W6-0, 2-6, 6-2
25.08.2026Janis Graski W6-0, 6-2
22.08.2026Mykyta Mashtakov L1-6, 6-4, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMartin Van Der MeerschenMarcel Zielinski
Gabriele Crivellaro 0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
Kai Wehnelt 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
0-1
L 6-7, 6-2, 6-2
Ryan Nijboer 0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 6-2, 4-6, 6-3
Stefan Popovic 1-2
W 7-6, 3-1, L 6-4, 6-3, L 7-5, 6-2
1-1
W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-4
Theodore Dean 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 6-7, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Martin Van Der Meerschen 51% at -154

Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Marcel Zielinski: quick answers

Who won Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Marcel Zielinski?

Marcel Zielinski beat Martin Van Der Meerschen 6-2, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Martin Van Der Meerschen at 51%.

What is the head-to-head record between Martin Van Der Meerschen and Marcel Zielinski?

Marcel Zielinski leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Marcel Zielinski 6-2, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.

Who is in better form, Martin Van Der Meerschen or Marcel Zielinski?

Martin Van Der Meerschen is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Marcel Zielinski is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Martin Van Der Meerschen and Marcel Zielinski?

Martin Van Der Meerschen is rated 6408 (ATP #760) and Marcel Zielinski is rated 6428 (ATP #697). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Marcel Zielinski?

Martin Van Der Meerschen is priced at -154 and Marcel Zielinski at +105, which implies a 61% and 49% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.