Maks Kasnikowski vs Stefano Travaglia

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 03:30.

Updated

Maks Kasnikowski beat Stefano Travaglia 6-2, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Maks Kasnikowski leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Kasnikowski is 5-5 in their last 10, Travaglia 5-5.

Result: Maks Kasnikowski beat Stefano Travaglia 6-2, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Maks Kasnikowski a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
57%
Book
63%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model
43%
Book
45%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maks Kasnikowski at -169 · Model track record

Player comparison

Maks KasnikowskiStefano Travaglia
Tennis Gauge rating67026735
Tour rankATP #215ATP #169
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days2-12-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record50-3040-29
UTR14.4614.44
Elo (52 weeks)14901507
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Maks Kasnikowski leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski6-2, 7-5Italy Olbia
16.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski6-2, 7-5Italy Olbia

Recent form

Maks Kasnikowski, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Aidan Mayo L6-2, 6-7, 7-5
27.10.2026James Trotter W6-1, 6-2
17.10.2026Damir Dzumhur L6-1, 7-5
16.10.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-2, 7-5
16.10.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-2, 7-5
14.10.2026Andrea Guerrieri W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Cezar Cretu W6-2, 6-1
07.10.2026Philip Henning L7-6, 6-1
19.09.2026Alex De Minaur L6-3, 6-0
12.09.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend L7-6, 6-4

Stefano Travaglia, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Laslo Djere W7-5, 6-2
27.10.2026Pierre Hugues Herbert W6-7, 7-6, 7-6
16.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski L6-2, 7-5
16.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski L6-2, 7-5
14.10.2026Valentin Royer W6-2, 7-5
13.10.2026Viktor Durasovic W3-6, 7-5, 6-3
22.09.2026Marvin Moeller L6-4, 4-6, 6-2
14.09.2026Thiago Monteiro L6-3, 7-6
10.09.2026Enrico Dalla Valle L6-7, 6-1, 6-4
08.09.2026Stefano Napolitano W6-4, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMaks KasnikowskiStefano Travaglia
Aidan Mayo 0-1
L 6-2, 6-7, 7-5
1-0
W 6-1, 1-6, 6-3
Andrea Guerrieri 1-1
W 6-3, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 2-6, 7-6
Enrico Dalla Valle 0-1
L 7-5, 6-2
0-2
L 6-7, 6-1, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-1
Hynek Barton 1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 7-5
2-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 1-0, W 6-1, 6-3
Milos Karol 0-1
L 7-6, 2-6, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 7-5
Otto Virtanen 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Maks Kasnikowski 57% at -169

Maks Kasnikowski vs Stefano Travaglia: quick answers

Who won Maks Kasnikowski vs Stefano Travaglia?

Maks Kasnikowski beat Stefano Travaglia 6-2, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Maks Kasnikowski and Stefano Travaglia?

Maks Kasnikowski leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Maks Kasnikowski 6-2, 7-5 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Maks Kasnikowski or Stefano Travaglia?

Maks Kasnikowski is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Stefano Travaglia is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Maks Kasnikowski and Stefano Travaglia?

Maks Kasnikowski is rated 6702 (ATP #215) and Stefano Travaglia is rated 6735 (ATP #169). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Maks Kasnikowski vs Stefano Travaglia?

Maks Kasnikowski is priced at -169 and Stefano Travaglia at +120, which implies a 63% and 45% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.